An Economic Dispatch Model of Wind Power for Optimal Reserve Capacity of Electric Power System

Wenyuan Xu, Qi Wu, Yuan Tao, Siqi Qiu, Zhifeng Qiu
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Abstract

The wind power time series is easily affected by external environmental factors, showing a high degree of volatility and uncertainty. In order to ensure the safe and stable operation of the power system, it is necessary to increase the auxiliary reserve capacity, and the resulting economic problems need to be solved urgently. This article evaluates the wind power forecast error economically, analyzes the increase in the reserve capacity of the power system caused by the uncertainty of wind power, and establishes an economic optimization with a wind curtailment penalty factor on the basis of the dynamic determination method of the reserve capacity scheduling model. The simulation results of an example show that under the condition of ensuring the safe operation of the system, the smaller the wind power prediction error, the less spare capacity required and the better the economy. In the case of a certain error, using the dynamic method to determine the spare capacity is an economical and reliable method.
电力系统最优备用容量的风电经济调度模型
风电时间序列容易受到外界环境因素的影响,表现出高度的波动性和不确定性。为了保证电力系统的安全稳定运行,需要增加辅助备用容量,由此产生的经济问题亟待解决。本文对风电预测误差进行了经济评价,分析了风电不确定性导致电力系统备用容量增加的问题,在备用容量调度模型动态确定方法的基础上,建立了考虑弃风惩罚因子的经济优化模型。算例仿真结果表明,在保证系统安全运行的条件下,风电功率预测误差越小,所需备用容量越少,经济性越好。在存在一定误差的情况下,采用动态方法确定备用容量是一种经济可靠的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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