Multidimensional Poverty Assessment in Pakistan: Does Household Dependency Escalate Poverty?

Muhammad Irfan, Nilma Karam, Sher Akber, Basit Ali
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Abstract

The household dependency ratio on young or old family members is considered a major determinant in poverty when human capital cannot support the family income. Since the elderly suffer a significant risk of poverty and make up an increasing percentage of the population, the country’s economic inequality is quite sensitive to population ageing. Family size adversely affects household well-being when focusing on children under 15 and adults over 65. The dependency increases the burden on bread earners and reduces consumption expenditure. The current study uses family reliance and the multidimensional poverty concept to analyse how poverty is distributed throughout different provinces. The current study intends to provide poverty analysis across all four provinces of Pakistan using the Alkire and Foster method of multidimensional poverty indexes from Household Integrated Economic Survey data. The study found that increasing child dependence significantly reduces consumption and exacerbates poverty. The Seniors Dependency Indicator demonstrates that as the elderly population in Sindh, Punjab, and Khyber Pakhtoon Khwa (KPK) declines, poverty decreases. All provinces saw an increase in the prevalence of child poverty, with the highest KPK rates in Punjab (6%) and Sindh (4%), respectively. Since the functional sector does not have to shoulder the full load, the government should set up safety support mechanisms for these segments to lessen the burden on wage workers. According to the survey, access to clean water and literacy rates are the other leading indicators of poverty alleviation.
巴基斯坦多维贫困评估:家庭依赖加剧贫困吗?
当人力资本无法支持家庭收入时,家庭对年轻或年老家庭成员的抚养比率被认为是贫困的一个主要决定因素。由于老年人面临着巨大的贫困风险,并且在人口中所占的比例越来越大,因此该国的经济不平等对人口老龄化相当敏感。当关注15岁以下儿童和65岁以上成年人时,家庭规模会对家庭福祉产生不利影响。这种依赖增加了挣钱养家的人的负担,减少了消费支出。本研究使用家庭依赖和多维贫困概念来分析贫困在不同省份的分布情况。目前的研究打算利用基于家庭综合经济调查数据的多维贫困指数的Alkire和Foster方法,对巴基斯坦所有四个省的贫困情况进行分析。研究发现,儿童依赖性的增加大大减少了消费,加剧了贫困。老年人抚养指标显示,随着信德省、旁遮普省和开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省(KPK)老年人口的减少,贫困人口也在减少。所有省份的儿童贫困率都有所上升,其中旁遮普省和信德省的儿童贫困率最高,分别为6%和4%。由于职能部门不需要承担全部负担,政府应该为这些部门建立安全支持机制,以减轻工薪阶层的负担。根据调查,获得清洁水和识字率是减轻贫困的其他主要指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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