Home Equity, Mobility, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Vincent Sterk
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引用次数: 77

Abstract

How does a fall in house prices affect real activity? This paper presents a business cycle model in which a decline in house prices reduces geographical mobility, creating distortions in the labor market. This happens because homeowners face declines in their home equity levels, after which it becomes more difficult to provide the down-payment required for a new mortgage loan. Unemployed homeowners therefore turn down job offers that would require them to move. The model explains joint cyclical patterns in housing and labor market aggregates, as well as the puzzling breakdown of the U.S. Beveridge curve that occurred during 2009.
房屋净值、流动性和宏观经济波动
房价下跌如何影响实际经济活动?本文提出了一个商业周期模型,其中房价下跌降低了地域流动性,造成了劳动力市场的扭曲。这是因为房主面临房屋净值水平下降的问题,在此之后,提供新抵押贷款所需的首付款变得更加困难。因此,失业的房主会拒绝那些需要他们搬家的工作机会。该模型解释了住房和劳动力市场总量的联合周期性模式,以及2009年美国贝弗里奇曲线令人费解的崩溃。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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