Determinants of Insider Trading Windows

W. Guay, Shawn Kim, David Tsui
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Abstract

Most publicly-traded firms adopt insider trading policies that establish pre-specified quarterly windows when insiders are allowed to trade. However, relatively little is known about how boards determine the length and timing of these windows, in part, because disclosure is voluntary and sparse. We use observed insider trading data to estimate the start and end points of quarterly trading windows, and the corresponding “blackout” periods when trading is restricted. We find that restrictions on trading reflect a heightened concern about expected information asymmetry, both with respect to how long insiders must wait after an earnings announcement before trading can begin, and how quickly the trading window closes as information builds up over the quarter. In addition, we find that trading is more restrictive when the firm has stronger external monitoring, and is more relaxed when insiders have greater liquidity needs. We also present evidence on event-specific “ad hoc blackout windows,” where insiders appear to be largely prohibited from trading during a given quarter. These ad hoc blackout periods tend to be followed by disclosure of future material corporate events, such as M&A activity or changes in the board or top management, are associated with contemporaneously higher information asymmetry, and are followed by increased trading volume and higher stock returns, suggesting that investors may not immediately incorporate the information conveyed by these unscheduled restrictions.
内幕交易窗口的决定因素
大多数上市公司采用内幕交易政策,建立预先规定的季度窗口,允许内部人士进行交易。然而,人们对董事会如何决定这些窗口期的长度和时间知之甚少,部分原因是披露是自愿的,而且很少。我们使用观察到的内幕交易数据来估计季度交易窗口的开始和结束点,以及交易受到限制时相应的“停电”时期。我们发现,对交易的限制反映了对预期信息不对称的高度关注,这既涉及到内部人士在收益公告发布后必须等待多长时间才能开始交易,也涉及到随着季度内信息的积累,交易窗口关闭的速度有多快。此外,我们发现,当公司外部监控较强时,交易的限制性更强,当内部人员有更大的流动性需求时,交易的宽松性更强。我们还提供了关于特定事件的“临时管制窗口”的证据,即内部人士在特定季度似乎基本上被禁止交易。这些临时限制期之后往往会披露未来的重大公司事件,如并购活动或董事会或高层管理人员的变动,这与同时更高的信息不对称有关,随后会增加交易量和更高的股票回报,这表明投资者可能不会立即纳入这些计划外限制所传达的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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