Multiple Energy Flow Modeling of Integrated Energy System Based on Heterogeneous Learner Integration Strategy

Sixiao Xin, Haoran Zhao, Hao Li, Hang Tian, Mengxue Wang, Xiaoli Huang
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Abstract

To solve the problems of Newton’s method in the multiple energy flow (MEF) calculation of integrated energy systems (IES), such as the convergence solution depends on the selection of initial values, and the high dimension of Jacobi matrix leads to slow iterative calculation, a MEF modeling method for IES based on heterogeneous learner integration strategy is proposed. Firstly, considering the complex characteristics of the IES, the MEF model is trained using a variety of data-driven algorithms which are proven successful in related literatures. Secondly, based on the learner selecting strategy of ‘’accurate but different’’ and the quantitative indexes of accuracy and divergence of each model, partial least squares and deep neural network are selected as the basic learning algorithms to construct the heterogeneous learner integration model. Finally, the case study shows that the model established by the proposed method can achieve better accuracy than the model created by single algorithm. The model can calculate the energy flow of IES quickly and accurately without relying on the initial value and iteration, and the speed of solving this model is 47.8 times that of the traditional Newton’s method. The proposed method provides a new approach for the accurate and rapid calculation of MEF in a large-scale IES.
基于异构学习者整合策略的集成能量系统多能量流建模
针对牛顿法在综合能源系统(IES)多能流(MEF)计算中存在的收敛解依赖于初始值的选取、Jacobi矩阵高维导致迭代计算缓慢等问题,提出了一种基于异构学习者集成策略的综合能源系统多能流(MEF)建模方法。首先,考虑到IES的复杂特性,使用多种数据驱动算法对MEF模型进行训练,这些算法在相关文献中被证明是成功的。其次,基于“准确但不同”的学习者选择策略和各模型的准确性和散度的定量指标,选择偏最小二乘法和深度神经网络作为基本学习算法,构建异构学习者集成模型;最后,实例研究表明,采用该方法建立的模型比单一算法建立的模型具有更好的精度。该模型不依赖于初始值和迭代,可以快速准确地计算出IES的能量流,求解速度是传统牛顿法的47.8倍。该方法为快速、准确地计算大型IES中MEF提供了一种新的方法。
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