Profound Changes of the World and China-US Trade Disputes

Zou Lixing
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Abstract

We are facing profound changes in the world in the 21st century. Various contradictions in the world become more intensive. Deep globalization has promoted a more integrated and efficient human society. Meanwhile, it has become more unbalanced, uncertain and contradictory. The movement of contradictions in the world tends to go from extremes to opposites. The development of human society will see the emergence of several civilization centers, instead of one civilization center taking the place of another. The current China-US trade disputes is one of the important appear of the profound change. The contradictory movements of China-US economic and trade relations are eternal while constants are relative, but changes in the basic structure of China-US relations will take place over a long period of time. The China-US trade problem is actually an imbalance problem, reflectsing the deep-seated and complex contradictions between developed and emerging developing countries in the global transformation. To solve the current China-US trade war, we need to take a balanced line. The China-US trade problem has accumulated over the past decades, and it will take some time to solve them. A scrutiny of China-US trade disputes in the profound changes of the world and the context of modernization shows that China has been working to address many of the issues of concern, which complies with China’s general direction of reform and opening-up and its goal to achieve all-round modernization. The most important thing both of China-US need to consider is not a win-or-lose outcome, but how to convert the fierce trade war to normal trade disputes and how to obtain a leading position in morals, strategies and tactics in the game between major countries. To this end, methods of balanced thinking need to be adopted for proper handling of five major relationships. We need to understand, tolerate and compromise each other. We need to discuss and negotiate the balanced solutions to the problem. This is the requirement of the law of balance. What is the Profound Changes of the world? What is the essence and reason of the profound changes? How should we deal with such profound changes? How do we view China-US trade disputes in the profound changes of the world. This paper attempts to give a preliminary analysis on these questions. This paper is a special research project of the National Social Science Fund, "Research on the joint development of China", the "one belt and one road" initiative and the United Nations sustainable development agenda.
世界的深刻变化与中美贸易争端
进入21世纪,我们正面临世界的深刻变化。世界上各种矛盾更加尖锐。深度全球化推动了人类社会更加融合高效。同时,它也变得更加不平衡、不确定和矛盾。世界矛盾的运动有从极端走向对立的趋势。人类社会的发展将会出现几个文明中心,而不是一个文明中心取代另一个文明中心。当前中美贸易争端是这一深刻变化的重要表现之一。中美经贸关系的矛盾运动是永恒的,不变是相对的,但中美关系基本结构的变化将是一个长期的过程。中美贸易问题实际上是一个不平衡问题,反映了全球转型中发达国家和新兴发展中国家之间深层次复杂的矛盾。解决当前中美贸易战,需要走平衡路线。中美贸易问题是几十年来积累起来的,解决起来需要一定时间。纵观世界大变局和现代化大背景下的中美贸易争端,我们可以看到,中国一直在努力解决许多令人关切的问题,这与中国改革开放的大方向和全面实现现代化的目标是一致的。中美双方最需要考虑的不是输赢,而是如何将激烈的贸易战转化为正常的贸易争端,如何在大国博弈中获得道德、战略和战术上的领先地位。为此,需要采取平衡思维的方法,正确处理五大关系。我们需要相互理解、相互包容、相互妥协。我们需要讨论和协商这个问题的平衡解决方案。这是平衡法则的要求。什么是世界的深刻变化?这种深刻变化的本质和原因是什么?我们应该如何应对这种深刻变化?在世界发生深刻变化的背景下,我们如何看待中美贸易争端?本文试图对这些问题进行初步的分析。本文是国家社会科学基金专项研究项目“中国的共同发展研究”、“b一带一路”倡议与联合国可持续发展议程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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