Semiparametric Maximum Likelihood Sieve Estimator for Correction of Endogenous Truncation Bias

Nir Billfeld, Moshe Kim
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Abstract

Semiparametric correction for a sample selection bias in the presence of endogenous truncation is known to be much more difficult in the case of a binary selection variable than in the case of a continuous selection variable. This paper proposes a simple bandwidth-free semiparametric methodology to correct for a self-selection bias in a truncated sample, without any prior knowledge of the marginal density functions of the selection model’s random disturbances. Each of the unknown marginal density functions is estimated using Sieve estimator, utilizing Hermite polynomials as basis functions. The aforementioned procedure is appropriate for both binary and continuous selection variables cases under the covariate shift assumption. We consider a double hurdle model, which is a combination of two selection rules. The first is propagated by a truncation in the dependent variable of the substantive equation. The second is propagated by endogenous self-selection. The suggested correction procedure produces estimates that are of high accuracy and consistent based on Monte Carlo simulations. The random disturbances are not restricted to being symmetric and their marginal distribution functions are unknown. Thus, in the data generation process we verify the applicability of our procedure to cases in which the disturbances are neither jointly nor marginally normally distributed. These disturbances are constructed as realizations of non-symmetric distribution functions.
修正内生截断偏差的半参数最大似然筛估计
对于存在内生截断的样本选择偏差的半参数校正,在二元选择变量的情况下比在连续选择变量的情况下要困难得多。本文提出了一种简单的无带宽半参数方法来纠正截断样本中的自选择偏差,而不需要事先知道选择模型随机干扰的边际密度函数。利用厄米特多项式作为基函数,利用筛估计器对每个未知的边际密度函数进行估计。在协变量移位假设下,上述过程适用于二元和连续选择变量的情况。我们考虑一个双障碍模型,它是两个选择规则的组合。第一个是通过实体方程的因变量的截断来传播的。第二种是通过内生的自我选择繁殖。所建议的修正程序产生了基于蒙特卡罗模拟的高精度和一致性估计。随机扰动不局限于对称,其边际分布函数是未知的。因此,在数据生成过程中,我们验证了我们的程序对干扰既不是联合正态分布也不是边际正态分布的情况的适用性。这些扰动被构造为非对称分布函数的实现。
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