Application of Data Mining Technique to Predict Landslides in Sri Lanka

K. Karunanayake, W. Wijayanayake
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Abstract

Landslides are the major natural disaster in hill country of Sri Lanka, which create terrible economical and ecological damages. Therefore, the fast detection is important. Currently in Sri Lanka,predict landslides based on a map reading approach. But a map is limited to specific point in time, and do not take current conditions into account. Therefore, develop a model/tool which has ability to efficiently deal with current situation is important. Hence within this study, prediction models were developed using Decision Tree and Neural Network data mining techniques,based on the data of Badulla and NuwaraEliya districts. Selected Decision Tree model for Badulla district has 96.2963% accuracy level and Nuwara Eliya district has 100% accuracy level. Though Decision tree models were outperformed, Neural Network models also have above 90% accuracy. Therefore, it can be concluded that both data mining techniques are suitableto developlandslide prediction models for Sri Lanka
数据挖掘技术在斯里兰卡滑坡预测中的应用
山体滑坡是斯里兰卡山区的主要自然灾害,造成了严重的经济和生态损失。因此,快速检测非常重要。目前在斯里兰卡,基于地图读取方法预测山体滑坡。但是,地图仅限于特定的时间点,并没有考虑到当前的情况。因此,开发一种能够有效处理当前情况的模型/工具是很重要的。因此,在本研究中,基于Badulla和NuwaraEliya地区的数据,使用决策树和神经网络数据挖掘技术开发了预测模型。所选决策树模型在巴杜拉区准确率为96.2963%,努沃拉埃利耶区准确率为100%。虽然决策树模型优于神经网络模型,但神经网络模型的准确率也在90%以上。因此,可以得出结论,这两种数据挖掘技术都适合于开发斯里兰卡的滑坡预测模型
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