Sharing skills and needs between providers and users of climate information to create climate services: lessons from the Northern Adriatic case study

Valentina Giannini, A. Bellucci, S. Torresan
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

The need to cope with the expected impacts of climate change on socio-ecological systems calls for a closer dialogue between climate scientists and the community of climate information users. We describe an interactive process designed to bridge this gap by establishing a two-way communication, based on mutual learning. We analyse the need of climate information for the integrated assessment of climate change impacts on the coastal zone of the Northern Adriatic Sea, which is considered to be particularly vulnerable to several climate-related phenomena, e.g. heavy rainfall events, pluvial flood, and sea level rise, causing potentially high damage to coastal ecosystems and urban areas (e.g. acqua alta in the Venice Lagoon). A participatory process was designed engaging representatives from both the scientific and local stakeholders communities, and facilitated by a boundary organization, embodied by the Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change.End-users of climate information (e.g. decision makers belonging to public institutions) were selected among representatives of those public institutions having a specific mandate for Integrated Coastal Zone Management, and engaged to identify their needs. During the early stages of the interaction process, several priorities were identified, including: (1) data to support land-use planning, (2) data with greater resolution and longer time series, (3) data on climate impacts and risks, (4) precipitation patterns to improve irrigation, (5) sea level rise and tides, (6) climate variations and extreme events, (7) seasonal trend for tidal waves, and (8) hydraulic risk.Three climate products were developed to address these needs: (1) short-term projections of sea level rise; (2) seasonal predictions of extreme rainfall events; (3) long-term regional projections of climate extremes (including heat waves, dry spells and heavy rainfall events). Additionally, two risk products were developed: 4) sea level rise inundation risk maps for the low-lying coastal areas of Veneto and Friuli-Venezia Giulia regions; and 5) pluvial flood risk maps for the urban territory of the municipality of Venice.
在气候信息提供者和用户之间分享技能和需求以创建气候服务:来自北亚得里亚海案例研究的经验教训
应对气候变化对社会生态系统的预期影响的需要要求气候科学家和气候信息用户社区之间进行更密切的对话。我们描述了一个互动过程,旨在通过建立基于相互学习的双向沟通来弥合这一差距。我们分析了气候变化对北亚得里亚海沿海地区影响综合评估的气候信息需求,该地区被认为特别容易受到几种气候相关现象的影响,例如强降雨事件、洪水和海平面上升,对沿海生态系统和城市地区造成潜在的严重破坏(例如威尼斯泻湖的水淹)。设计了一个参与式进程,让来自科学界和地方利益攸关方的代表参与,并由一个边界组织推动,以欧洲-地中海气候变化中心为代表。气候信息的最终用户(例如属于公共机构的决策者)是从那些具有沿海区综合管理具体任务的公共机构的代表中挑选出来的,并参与确定他们的需求。在交互过程的早期阶段,确定了几个优先事项,包括:(1)支持土地利用规划的数据,(2)更高分辨率和更长的时间序列数据,(3)气候影响和风险数据,(4)改善灌溉的降水模式,(5)海平面上升和潮汐,(6)气候变化和极端事件,(7)潮汐的季节性趋势,以及(8)水力风险。为了满足这些需求,开发了三种气候产品:(1)海平面上升的短期预测;(2)极端降水事件的季节预测;(3)极端气候(包括热浪、干旱和强降雨事件)的长期区域预估。此外,还开发了两种风险产品:威尼托和弗留利-威尼斯-朱利亚地区低洼沿海地区海平面上升淹没风险图;5)威尼斯市城市地区的洪水风险图。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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