Software LCCE Costs: A “Bad News” Forecast Produced by Cost Analysts, Or Now That We Have the Bad News, What are We Going to Do about It?

Don Taylor, Al Dopita
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Abstract

Abstract This paper is a prime example of how cost analysis (based-on early program data) can predict a likely program meltdown of a large DoD project several years before it will happen. Using actual program data, we present a devastating case for near certain cost overruns, program delays and client dissatisfaction. This predictive information makes a powerful case for substantial and essential changes in the program direction, scope, timing and assumptions early in the project. As any program manager knows, the earlier you react to program data, the more maneuver room you have.
软件LCCE成本:成本分析师的“坏消息”预测,或者既然我们有了坏消息,我们该怎么办?
本文是成本分析(基于早期项目数据)如何提前几年预测大型国防部项目可能出现的项目崩溃的一个主要例子。使用实际的项目数据,我们提出了一个几乎确定的成本超支、项目延迟和客户不满的毁灭性案例。这些预测性信息为项目早期在规划方向、范围、时间和假设方面的实质性和必要的变更提供了强有力的理由。任何项目经理都知道,你对项目数据的反应越早,你就有越多的回旋余地。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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