Using Computer Simulations to Plan Construction Projects Accurately

L. Guardia, Alison Smith, Rana Ead, S. Abourizk
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Abstract

The three main objectives in construction projects are completing the project on time, within budget, and with good quality. Each construction project is unique and unpredictable making it beneficial to model the project before executing it. There are many ways to model a construction project; however, computer models are ideal. It is very costly and time consuming to experiment with the actual system. Therefore, by using a computer simulation, accurate data can be collected from the project without the time and cost drawbacks. The specific construction project researched is based on a real project from Fort Mcmurray Alberta, Canada. The construction project involved the delivery and erection of three different types of steel in a construction site. Once the steel has been delivered, it needs to be stored and then carried by forklift to one of two cranes to be erected. A schedule was provided for which days each type of material was expected to be delivered and erected, however this schedule did not account for the 20% chance that any delivery could be delayed by one day or the 10% chance that deliveries could be delayed by two days. A model project was created on Simphony.NET with the assumptions that work could commence the entire day (24 hours), the site has unlimited storage, and a delay in one delivery does not delay all the deliveries after it. The schedule for the project was then modified to reflect the results of the simulation. The modified schedule showed that several deliveries of materials were delayed. However, due to the model’s assumptions and the time for erection being relatively short, the planned schedule for the erection of the materials was not delayed. By using the data collected from the computer simulation it was possible to more accurately plan the schedule for this  construction project.
利用计算机模拟准确规划建筑项目
在建设项目的三个主要目标是按时完成项目,在预算范围内,并以良好的质量。每个建设项目都是独特的和不可预测的,因此在执行之前对项目进行建模是有益的。有很多方法来模拟一个建设项目;然而,计算机模型是理想的。用实际的系统进行实验是非常昂贵和耗时的。因此,通过计算机模拟,可以从项目中收集准确的数据,而不存在时间和成本方面的缺点。所研究的具体建设项目是基于加拿大阿尔伯塔省麦克默里堡的一个真实项目。该建筑项目涉及在建筑工地交付和安装三种不同类型的钢材。一旦钢材运到,就需要储存起来,然后用叉车运到两台起重机中的一台上进行架设。提供了一个时间表,每种材料预计交付和安装的天数,但是这个时间表没有考虑到任何交付可能延迟一天的20%的可能性或交付可能延迟两天的10%的可能性。在Simphony上创建了一个模型项目。NET假设工作可以开始一整天(24小时),该站点具有无限存储,并且一次交付的延迟不会延迟之后的所有交付。然后修改项目的进度以反映模拟的结果。修改后的进度表显示,有几批材料的交货延迟。然而,由于模型的假设和安装时间相对较短,因此没有延迟材料的计划安装进度。通过使用计算机模拟收集的数据,可以更准确地计划该建设项目的进度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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