Analysis on Influencing Factors of accidents at national and provincial road intersections based on random forest

Huiying Xu, G. Huang
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Abstract

In order to study the influencing factors of different accident injury degree at the intersections of national and provincial roads, the random forest model is used to predict the accident injury degree at intersections of national and provincial roads, and the model fusion method is used to improve its accuracy. The results show that the main factors affecting fatal accidents are accident form (pedestrian scratch), cause of accident (failing to give way and speeding), time period (early morning and evening), vehicle type (car and heavy truck), traffic control mode (no control, only signs and markings). On this basis, the improvement suggestions are put forward according to the factors affecting the accident. The research conclusions can provide decision-making reference for the accident prevention of national and provincial road intersections.
基于随机森林的国道与省道交叉口交通事故影响因素分析
为了研究国道与省道交叉口不同事故伤害程度的影响因素,采用随机森林模型对国道与省道交叉口事故伤害程度进行预测,并采用模型融合方法提高预测精度。结果表明,影响致命事故的主要因素有事故形式(行人划伤)、事故原因(不让行、超速)、事故时间(清晨和傍晚)、车辆类型(轿车和重卡)、交通管制方式(无管制、只有标志和标线)。在此基础上,根据影响事故的因素提出改进建议。研究结论可为国道、省道交叉口交通事故预防提供决策参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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