Drivers of imbalance cost of wind power: A comparative analysis

C. Obersteiner, T. Siewierski, A. N. Andersen
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引用次数: 19

Abstract

In Europe an increasing share of wind power is sold on the power market. Therefore more and more wind power generators become balancing responsible and face imbalance cost that reduce revenues from selling wind power. A comparison of literature illustrates that the imbalance cost of wind power varies in a wide range. To explain differences we indentify parameters influencing imbalance cost and compare them for case studies in Austria, Denmark and Poland. Besides the wind power forecast error also the correlation between imbalance and imbalance price influences imbalance cost significantly. Especially in systems with significant wind shares, an assessment of imbalance cost based on the amount of imbalance and average System Sell and System Buy Prices is therefore not reliable. While imbalance cost rather reflects cash flows within the clearing of imbalances, the presented concept of cost of imperfect forecast is better suited to reflect real cost incurred due to inaccurate wind power forecasts.
风力发电成本不平衡的驱动因素:比较分析
在欧洲,风力发电在电力市场上所占的份额越来越大。因此,越来越多的风力发电机组承担着平衡责任,面临着成本不平衡,从而减少了风电销售收入。文献对比表明,风电的不平衡成本在很大范围内变化。为了解释差异,我们确定了影响不平衡成本的参数,并对奥地利、丹麦和波兰的案例研究进行了比较。除风电预测误差外,不平衡电价与不平衡电价之间的相关性对不平衡成本也有显著影响。特别是在具有重要风电份额的系统中,基于不平衡量和平均系统买卖价格的不平衡成本评估因此是不可靠的。虽然不平衡成本反映的是结算不平衡期间的现金流量,但所提出的不完美预测成本的概念更适合反映由于不准确的风电预测而产生的实际成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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