Review of "Computer Models in the Social Sciences, by Robert B. Coats and Andrew Parkin", Winthrop, 1977

Robert Marcus
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

I fear that many readers will skip this review after a brief glance at the book's title. One can hardly blame them; much of the literature on modelling and simulation is highly theoretical , and beset with an incredible amount of mathematics and jargon, making it unsuitable for use by the majority of social scientists. Happily, this book is different. The authors neatly dispel the myth that rigorous mathematical knowledge is a prerequisite to understanding and constructing computer models. From the Preface: "To understand this book you need only simple algebra, a little statistics and an alert mind. Quite a large part of the book can be understood without the first two of these." A practical, rather than a theoretical, approach is taken in this easy-to-read, entertaining , and thought-provoking introduction to computer modelling. Another quote from the Preface sets the tone for what follows: "Using a computer becomes worthwhile only when analyzing a system of some complexity which cannot easily be analyzed in more conventional ways. Practical techniques of analyzing complex systems is the unifying theme of the various parts of this book." The first part of the book discusses the principles used in designing, constructing, and experimenting with computer models. The second half consists of in-depth studies of diverse models, including a queuing model, an associative model of memory, a model of bed usage at a hospital, and an economic model. In each case the reader follows through the thought processes that go into the design and construction of the model. The excellent discussion questions are suitable for use either by the individual reader, or in a classroom situation. Unfortunately, this excellent reference source is buried in the middle of the book, where it can easily escape the attention of someone merely skimming through the book. Another nice feature of the book is that it confronts the special human problems encountered when trying to build a model in the social sciences. The authors are aware that quanti-fication often proves impossible, and that the human element affects systems in unpredictable ways. They never lose sight of the fact that the goal is the creation of practical, workable models that will benefit people, rather than an abstract theory of modelling which is of little practical use. In short, if you're after a solid foundation in the Why and How of computer models, which will give you the knowledge to construct …
《社会科学中的计算机模型,罗伯特·b·科茨和安德鲁·帕金》,温斯洛普出版社,1977年
我担心很多读者在看了这本书的标题之后会跳过这篇评论。人们很难责怪他们;许多关于建模和模拟的文献都是高度理论化的,并且被大量的数学和术语所困扰,使得它不适合大多数社会科学家使用。令人高兴的是,这本书与众不同。作者们巧妙地打破了严谨的数学知识是理解和构建计算机模型的先决条件的神话。前言中写道:“要理解这本书,你只需要简单的代数、一点统计学知识和敏锐的头脑。这本书的大部分内容,不需要前两项就能理解。”一个实际的,而不是理论的,方法是采取在这个易于阅读,有趣的,发人深省的介绍计算机建模。序言中的另一段话为接下来的内容奠定了基调:“只有在分析某种复杂的系统时,使用计算机才有价值,这种系统无法用更传统的方式轻松分析。分析复杂系统的实用技术是本书各部分的统一主题。本书的第一部分讨论了在设计、构建和实验计算机模型中使用的原则。第二部分是对各种模型的深入研究,包括排队模型、记忆的联想模型、医院床位使用模型和经济模型。在每种情况下,读者都要遵循进入模型设计和构建的思维过程。优秀的讨论问题既适合个人读者使用,也适合在课堂上使用。不幸的是,这个优秀的参考资料隐藏在书的中间,很容易逃过那些仅仅浏览本书的人的注意。这本书的另一个优点是,它面对了人类在试图建立社会科学模型时遇到的特殊问题。作者意识到,量化常常被证明是不可能的,而且人类因素以不可预测的方式影响着系统。他们从不忽视这样一个事实,即目标是创建实用的、可操作的模型,使人们受益,而不是一个没有什么实际用途的抽象建模理论。简而言之,如果你想在计算机模型的“为什么”和“如何”方面打下坚实的基础,这将为你提供构建……
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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