Green Statehood and Environmental Crisis

J. Vogler
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The Green State is an important book, not least because it appreciates that the state, in one form or another, is still the focus of loyalties and political authority and that this will continue to be the case within any time frame likely to be relevant to human survival. The specifics are debatable, but if we take seriously predictions on climate change and fresh water scarcity, we are speaking of a period within the span of the current century. The International Energy Agency has calculated that world energy-related CO emissions will rise by 62% between the present and 2030 and at some point in the early 2020s developing country emissions will surpass those of the OECD states (IEA, 2004). Finding a way of restricting total emissions to a level that does not entail dangerous mean temperature increases in excess of 2 C, through the involvement of both developing and developed states, provides the agenda for current international discussion of the post-2012 evolution of the Kyoto Protocol and for the wider consideration of the future of the UN climate regime. Clearly the existing interpretation of ‘common but differentiated responsibilities’between developed and developing states cannot persist and some means will have to be found to direct their growth along a sustainable path. It is difficult to envisage this in terms other than those of inter-governmental cooperation and Eckersley is surely correct in asserting that action by states is essential. With the relatively extended time horizon of political change and the ever-diminishing one of environmental crisis, we simply do not have the luxury of anticipating fundamental institutional change. The state is ‘the only game in town’ and it is therefore vital to investigate the ways in which it might plausibly become greener. At the heart of Eckersley’s work is a sensitivity to the possibilities of such a change and to the accumulating evidence of the reconstruction of the character of at least some of the more developed states in the contemporary global system. It thus proceeds without sliding into the anti-statism and green idealism that has characterized much of the debate in which state authority is, either transformed
绿色州与环境危机
《绿色之国》是一本重要的书,尤其是因为它认识到,国家,无论以何种形式,仍然是忠诚和政治权威的焦点,而且在任何可能与人类生存相关的时间框架内,这种情况将继续存在。具体的细节是有争议的,但是如果我们认真对待气候变化和淡水短缺的预测,我们所说的是本世纪跨度内的一个时期。根据国际能源署的计算,从现在到2030年,世界能源相关的二氧化碳排放量将增加62%,在本世纪20年代初的某个时候,发展中国家的排放量将超过经合组织国家(IEA, 2004年)。通过发展中国家和发达国家的共同参与,找到一种将总排放量限制在不导致平均气温上升超过2摄氏度的危险水平上的方法,为当前有关《京都议定书》2012年后演变的国际讨论提供了议程,并为更广泛地考虑联合国气候机制的未来提供了议程。显然,发达国家和发展中国家之间“共同但有区别的责任”的现有解释不能持续下去,必须找到一些方法,将它们的增长引导到可持续的道路上。除了政府间合作之外,很难想象这一点。埃克斯利断言,国家的行动至关重要,这一点当然是正确的。由于政治变革的时间跨度相对较长,而环境危机的时间跨度却越来越小,我们根本没有时间去预测根本的制度变革。该州是“镇上唯一的游戏”,因此,研究它可能变得更环保的方式至关重要。埃克斯利工作的核心是对这种变化的可能性的敏感性,以及对至少一些当代全球体系中较发达国家特征重建的积累证据的敏感性。这样一来,它就不会滑向反国家主义和绿色理想主义,而这两种理想主义已经成为许多辩论的特征,在这些辩论中,国家权力要么被转变,要么被转变
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