Energy Demand Estimation of a Multi-Party Consumer using Fuzzy Logic Method

Abstract

Considering the needs for the future smart grids to precisely estimate the energy demand of a consumer, a fuzzy-logic based method is adopted in this paper that provides a comprehensive ground for planning and scheduling of the equipment or load. This method of estimation covers the most important aspect i.e. the uncertainty which is inherently associated with the forecasted data. The Fuzzy logic system helps the smart grid operator to estimate the data more accurately by defining the extent to which a certain value is true or false, which in other words known as the degree of truth. For this purpose, a proposed method is implemented on a real-life data that demonstrates the effectiveness of the method.