SoS capability schedule prediction

Abstract

The Australian Defence Materiel Organisation recently developed a process for determining the probability that a system development program will meet their stated delivery or completion date as well as predicting the actual schedule and identifying factors that are driving the schedule. This process, the Schedule Compliance Risk Assessment Methodology (SCRAM), provides a framework for identifying and communicating the issues and risks to, and the root causes of, schedule slippage and providing recommendations to mitigate and/or remediate issues and risks. To date, SCRAM has been successfully applied to a number of major development acquisition programs in Australia and the United States. This paper describes the application of the SCRAM process to predict the completion date of an SoS capability, conduct a root cause analysis of any identified schedule slippage, and identify possible remedial actions that can be taken to reduce schedule slippage.