Current capital optimization by the mathematical modelling of interconnections between its components

V. Orlova, S. Kafka, I. Hryniuk, O. Boichuk
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Abstract

In market conditions, competition is the main mechanism for regulating economic relations. It poses the problem of ensuring the survival and the possibility of further development of enterprises, which requires the participants of the economic process to take adequate measures to improve the mechanism, forms and methods of management. In these circumstances, it is especially relevant to study the issues of formation, operation, reproduction and management of capital of enterprises, and especially its working part. Working capital is a compulsory element of production that provides all the current activities of business entities. The article deals with the etymology and concept of capital, as well as its component current capital. It is proved that in order to increase the efficiency of the process of managing the current capital of the enterprise, it is important to find the optimal ratio of its components. In such circumstances, the process of optimization becomes a feature of the current capital management strategy. It is established that the most relevant to the optimization process will be a moderate strategy of system-oriented current capital management. On this basis, optimization covers the study of patterns and relationships between all components of current capital. In order to study these relationships, it is necessary to determine the impact on each component of the rest of the current capital components. These relationships are cyclical, and we find that their descriptions are appropriate using mathematical models. Accordingly, models for optimizing the size of the basic elements of current capital using the Lotka-Volterra equation have been developed. It has been proved that such model allows to estimate the level of mutual influence between components of current capital and to carry out the analysis with the purpose of making effective management decisions. In addition, in order to obtain adequate data on the behaviour of current capital components, it is appropriate in the future to determine the factors influencing them and the magnitude of the weighting factors that will correspond to them. These coefficients were determined using the method of expert estimation using the technique of point estimation. It has been established that the determination of the maximum and minimum levels of values for the components of current capital has a significant impact on the process of system-oriented management, and the factors that influence these levels will be represented by the indicators that are characterized by the following parameters. In the simulation process it has been found that the most important element, on which the managers of the enterprise in the decision-making process regarding current capital should focus, is the value of stocks taking into account their maximum allowable level. The theoretical and methodological significance of the study is to substantiate and evaluate the strategy of optimizing the size of the basic elements of current capital, which will allow to set the size of the components of current capital at the optimum level, ensuring the continuity of economic activity, and will also allow to assess the future risks associated with
当前资本优化是通过数学模型对其组成部分之间的相互联系进行的
在市场条件下,竞争是调节经济关系的主要机制。它提出了保证企业生存和进一步发展的可能性的问题,这就要求经济过程的参与者采取适当的措施,改进管理的机制、形式和方法。在这种情况下,研究企业资本的形成、经营、再生产和管理问题,特别是企业资本的工作部分,就显得尤为重要。营运资金是生产的必要要素,为企业提供所有的日常活动。本文论述了资本的词源、概念及其构成要素流动资本。证明了为了提高企业流动资金管理过程的效率,寻找流动资金各组成部分的最优比例是非常重要的。在这种情况下,优化过程成为当前资本管理策略的一个特征。建立了与优化过程最相关的是一个适度的以系统为导向的流动资金管理策略。在此基础上,优化涵盖了对流动资本各组成部分之间的模式和关系的研究。为了研究这些关系,有必要确定剩余的当前资本组成部分对每个组成部分的影响。这些关系是周期性的,我们发现用数学模型来描述它们是合适的。因此,利用Lotka-Volterra方程开发了优化流动资本基本要素规模的模型。事实证明,该模型可以估计流动资本组成部分之间的相互影响程度,并进行分析,以做出有效的管理决策。此外,为了获得有关当前资本构成行为的充分数据,今后应当确定影响它们的因素以及与之相对应的加权因素的大小。采用专家估计的方法,利用点估计技术确定这些系数。已经确定的是,流动资本组成部分价值的最大和最小水平的确定对系统管理的过程具有重大影响,影响这些水平的因素将由以以下参数为特征的指标来表示。在模拟过程中发现,考虑到股票的最大允许水平,企业管理者在对流动资本进行决策过程中应该关注的最重要的因素是股票的价值。该研究的理论和方法意义在于证实和评估优化流动资本基本要素规模的策略,这将允许将流动资本组成部分的规模设置在最佳水平,确保经济活动的连续性,并且还允许评估与之相关的未来风险
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