Bulgarian Economy on the Way of Ecological Transformation

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Abstract

Climate changes and the aggressive attitude towards the environment as a result of human activity in recent decades have had increasingly negative effects everywhere on a global scale, including in our country. Studies from recent years show that the process of transition to an ecological economy in Bulgaria is still quite inert and poorly effective. In the present study, the dynamics of a series of indicators for sustainable development and ecological economy, defined by Eurostat, have been analyzed. Trend models have been developed for the selected indicators concerning the 2010-2020 period and forecasts for their development with a 2-year horizon have been compiled. Based on the results, the country’s progress on the way of ecological transformation of the economy has been considered.
生态转型道路上的保加利亚经济
近几十年来,由于人类活动造成的气候变化和对环境的恶劣态度,在全球范围内对包括我国在内的各个地方产生了越来越多的负面影响。近年来的研究表明,保加利亚向生态经济过渡的过程仍然相当迟钝,效率低下。在本研究中,分析了欧盟统计局定义的一系列可持续发展和生态经济指标的动态。为选定的2010-2020年期间的指标制定了趋势模型,并编制了2年的发展预测。在此基础上,对我国在经济生态转型道路上的进展进行了思考。
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