The Impact of Capital, Corruption, and Institutional Factors on the Stability of MENA Region Banks

M. Kassem
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

ABSTRACT:The stability of commercial banks operating in the MENA region is still questionable even though they have faced a drastic favorable change after 2008. Most of bank's regulatory capital are controlled by corrupted governmental officials which led banks in this region to increase their risk-taking behavior at the expense of stability. This paper examines the impact of regulatory capital, economic, institutional, and political factors on the stability of commercial banks that are operating in the MENA region. The data employed in this study is a pooled cross-section and time series data of 13 banking system in the MENA region: Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Tunisia, Bahrain, Oman, Morocco, Egypt, Israel, and Turkey covering the period of 2000 to 2017. A dynamic Generalized-Method-of-Moments (GMM) estimator was adopted and a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression method was conducted to check for robustness. Relying on the results of Hausman test, a fixed effects model was used. The following variables have shown a significant and positive relationship with bank stability; the equity (CAP), the profitability (ROA), the growth (ΔGDP), and the dummy Basel II (BAS2) variables. The positive impact of both capital and Basel II requirements on bank stability supports the regulatory hypothesis. Conversely, non-performing loans and bank's size negatively affected the stability of the banking sector. Regarding the institutional factors, the quality of governmental regulations and political stability have shown a positive relationship with bank's stability while the other variables (corruption, establishing new prudential rules, and freedom in speech) failed to show a significant relationship. The findings of this paper confirmed the progression of the additional capital requirements for MENA region banks. Moreover, a close supervision should be applied on large banks that might have the tendency to increase their risk-taking behavior to overcome the cost of the additional required capital. In additional, our findings verified that economic growth and operating environment play a crucial role on the stability of the banking sector. Finally, the results confirm that institutional-linked factors are more important than country-related regulations in enhancing bank's stability due to the presence of a well-designed Basel framework.
资本、腐败和制度因素对中东和北非地区银行稳定性的影响
摘要:2008年以来,中东和北非地区的商业银行经历了翻天覆地的变化,但其稳定性仍存在问题。大部分银行的监管资本由腐败的政府官员控制,导致该地区银行以牺牲稳定为代价增加冒险行为。本文考察了监管资本、经济、制度和政治因素对在中东和北非地区经营的商业银行稳定性的影响。本研究使用的数据是中东和北非地区13个银行系统的汇总截面和时间序列数据:黎巴嫩、沙特阿拉伯、卡塔尔、科威特、约旦、阿拉伯联合酋长国、突尼斯、巴林、阿曼、摩洛哥、埃及、以色列和土耳其,时间跨度为2000年至2017年。采用动态广义矩量法(GMM)估计量,并采用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)回归方法进行鲁棒性检验。根据Hausman检验结果,采用固定效应模型。以下变量与银行稳定性呈显著正相关关系:股本(CAP)、盈利能力(ROA)、增长(ΔGDP)和虚拟巴塞尔协议II (BAS2)变量。资本要求和巴塞尔协议II对银行稳定性的积极影响支持了监管假设。相反,不良贷款和银行规模对银行业的稳定性产生负面影响。在制度因素方面,政府监管质量和政治稳定性与银行稳定性呈正相关关系,而其他变量(腐败、建立新的审慎规则和言论自由)没有表现出显著的关系。本文的研究结果证实了中东和北非地区银行额外资本要求的进展。此外,应对可能倾向于增加冒险行为以克服额外所需资本成本的大型银行实施密切监督。此外,我们的研究结果验证了经济增长和经营环境对银行业的稳定性起着至关重要的作用。最后,结果证实,由于设计良好的巴塞尔框架的存在,在加强银行稳定性方面,与制度相关的因素比与国家相关的监管更重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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