Prediction of Wind Turbine Blade Icing Based on LSTM-SVM

Mengchao Ren, Weilong Wang, Yunqi Bian, Hongxia Cai
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Abstract

As one of the important parts of wind turbines, icing of wind turbine blade will lead to loss of power generation, and even cause blade to break and injure workers in severe cases. Therefore, the prediction of blade icing has always been the focus of the wind power industry. To solve the problem, this paper proposes a wind turbine blade icing prediction model based on LSTM-SVM. Firstly, we analyzed the time series data of a wind farm and the mechanism of blade icing to obtain the features sensitive to wind turbine blade icing. Then, the LSTM is used to predict these feature parameters for future moments. Finally, an SVM model was employed to diagnose the icing status of wind turbine blades based on the predicted feature parameters, thus achieving the prediction of blade icing. The model was verified by experimental data and was able to accurately predict whether the wind turbine blade would icing or not. Compared with traditional algorithms, it can predict the icing status of wind turbine blade in advance and has more accurate prediction results, making it more suitable for practical applications of blade icing prediction.
基于LSTM-SVM的风电叶片结冰预测
风力发电机叶片作为风力发电机的重要部件之一,其结冰会导致发电损失,严重时甚至会造成叶片断裂,造成工人受伤。因此,叶片结冰的预测一直是风电行业关注的焦点。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一种基于LSTM-SVM的风电叶片结冰预测模型。首先,对某风电场的时间序列数据和叶片结冰机理进行分析,得到对风力机叶片结冰敏感的特征;然后,使用LSTM来预测这些特征参数的未来时刻。最后,基于预测的特征参数,利用支持向量机模型对风机叶片结冰状态进行诊断,实现叶片结冰预测。实验数据验证了该模型的正确性,该模型能够准确预测风机叶片是否结冰。与传统算法相比,该算法能够提前预测风机叶片结冰状态,预测结果更加准确,更适合于叶片结冰预测的实际应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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