Dynamic interactions between the bitcoin price index and widely traded financial assets: evidence from the recent covid-19 crisis

W. Kammoun, Manel Ben Aissa
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Abstract

We investigate the connectedness between the Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) and widelytraded financial assets from a variety of markets (equities, bonds, commoditiesand fiat currency). Using daily data from 5 August 2013 to 31 August 2021 (beforeand during the COVID-19 crisis), we run the VAR model estimation to investigateany connectedness between the BPI and financial assets, followed by the Grangercausality test. We then test Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2012) framework to analyse thespillover effects among our set of variables. Our empirical results provide strongevidence that the BPI index exhibits significant independence from widely tradedfinancial assets. This independence is less pronounced during the COVID-19 crisis,but remains relatively important. To test whether Bitcoin constitutes a relevantdiversification vehicle, we compute the Sharpe portfolio performance index of twoportfolios of conventional assets with and without the BPI, before and during theCOVID-19 crisis. Our results show that the introduction of the BPI index as a diversificationasset does not improve portfolio performance. Overall, our empiricalfindings are robust to different robustness tests and provide several implicationsfor hedgers, portfolio managers and policymakers.
比特币价格指数与广泛交易的金融资产之间的动态相互作用:来自最近covid-19危机的证据
我们研究了比特币价格指数(BPI)与各种市场(股票、债券、商品和法定货币)中广泛交易的金融资产之间的联系。利用2013年8月5日至2021年8月31日(2019冠状病毒病危机之前和期间)的每日数据,我们运行VAR模型估计,以调查BPI与金融资产之间的任何联系,然后进行格兰杰因果检验。然后,我们测试Diebold和Yilmaz(2012)的框架来分析我们的变量集之间的溢出效应。我们的实证结果提供了强有力的证据,表明BPI指数与广泛交易的金融资产具有显著的独立性。这种独立性在2019冠状病毒病危机期间不那么明显,但仍然相对重要。为了测试比特币是否构成相关的多元化工具,我们计算了在2019冠状病毒病危机之前和期间,有和没有BPI的两种传统资产组合的夏普投资组合绩效指数。我们的研究结果表明,引入BPI指数作为分散资产并没有改善投资组合的绩效。总体而言,我们的实证研究结果对不同的稳健性测试具有稳健性,并为对冲者、投资组合经理和政策制定者提供了一些启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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