Mathematical Modeling and Optimal Control Strategies of HIV/AIDS with HAART

O. Abiodun, A. Olukayode, J. Ndako
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Abstract

The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) have posed one of the most pressing problems for world health and development, ever since its discovery in the early 1980s. The spread of Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is a worldwide health concern. According to the WHO's estimate of the global HIV epidemic in 2021, 650 000 [510 000–850 000] individuals worldwide died in 2021 as a result of HIV-related causes. In this study, we proposed a mathematical model to study the effects of counselling and screening of unaware infective on the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS in the presence of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). We investigate the optimal amounts of various intervention measures required to decrease disease transmission and boost output. To do this, we alter our basic model to include various intervention techniques in order to obtain an optimal control problem, which is then qualitatively assessed using Pontryagin's Maximum principle. To obtain greater insight into the ramifications of the interventions, the resulting optimal control problem is numerically analysed using an iterative method – forward-backwards sweep Runge-Kutta fourth-orderr numerical approximation methodology. Then, using time as a control, we design the optimal control problems and devise a strategy to lower the number of infected people and the associated costs. Finally, numerical simulation findings reveal that the most efficient strategy to limit HIV infection is to use the optimal combination of condoms on susceptible and on infection transmission rate, counselling and testing on unaware infective, and treatment on aware HIV/AIDS infectives.
HAART治疗HIV/AIDS的数学建模与最优控制策略
人类免疫缺陷病毒(艾滋病毒)和获得性免疫缺陷综合症(艾滋病)自1980年代初被发现以来,对世界卫生和发展构成了最紧迫的问题之一。人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)的传播是一个全球性的健康问题。根据世卫组织对2021年全球艾滋病毒流行的估计,2021年全世界有65万人(51万至85万人)死于与艾滋病毒有关的原因。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个数学模型来研究在高活性抗逆转录病毒治疗(HAART)存在的情况下,咨询和筛查不知情感染者对艾滋病毒/艾滋病传播动态的影响。我们研究了减少疾病传播和提高产出所需的各种干预措施的最佳数量。为了做到这一点,我们改变了我们的基本模型,包括各种干预技术,以获得最优控制问题,然后使用庞特里亚金的最大值原理对其进行定性评估。为了更深入地了解干预的后果,使用迭代方法-前后扫描龙格-库塔四阶数值逼近方法对所产生的最优控制问题进行了数值分析。然后,以时间为控制因素,设计了最优控制问题,并设计了降低感染人数和相关成本的策略。最后,数值模拟结果表明,限制艾滋病毒感染的最有效策略是对易感者和感染传播率使用避孕套,对不知情的感染者使用咨询和检测,对知情的艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染者使用治疗的最佳组合。
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