SEIS MESES DE COVID-19 EN CHILE: EXPLORANDO EL ROL DEL TRÁFICO AÉREO Y EL MERCADO DEL TRABAJO EN EL BALANCE DE CONTAGIOS Y FALLECIDOS

Francisco Maturana, Víctor Cobs-Muñoz, C. Pérez
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Abstract

: The global pandemic of COVID-19 has spread so rapidly that it has reached Chile in less than four months since its first recorded case in 2019. This important event in the epidemiological context of the country triggers preventive and reactive measures from the executive and the society in general in order to reduce the pace of contagion and the pressure on the healthcare network. One of these measures is the closing of borders, affecting both, international and domestic flights. This article explores the relationship between commercial air traffic and the branch of economic activity with the number of COVID-19 infections and deaths in Chilean regions. For this purpose, by means of combined graphs, correlations, and regressions, we show that there was a drastic decrease in commercial flights from the third week after the pandemic was declared; however, some regions resumed flights later on. A relationship is observed between air traffic, mining production activities in northern Chile, and the level of infection, in addition to the fact that this macro-zone has presented high levels of Covid-19. Moreover, we found that there is a high and significant correlation between the population size and infection-deaths, showing a process of spatial diffusion of the pandemic through a hierarchical structure framed by the distribution of the Chilean population. Although the results presented here are exploratory and remain open to discussion, they contribute to demonstrate the processes already indicated and experienced in the first months of the pandemic.
智利COVID-19疫情6个月:探索空中交通和劳动力市场在感染和死亡平衡中的作用
2019冠状病毒病全球大流行传播如此之快,自2019年出现首例病例以来,不到四个月的时间就蔓延到了智利。在该国的流行病学背景下,这一重要事件促使行政部门和整个社会采取预防和反应措施,以减少传染的速度和对医疗保健网络的压力。其中一项措施是关闭边境,影响国际和国内航班。本文探讨了智利地区商业空中交通和经济活动分支与COVID-19感染和死亡人数之间的关系。为此,通过综合图表、相关性和回归,我们表明,从宣布大流行后的第三周开始,商业航班急剧减少;不过,一些地区后来恢复了航班。除了这个宏观区域出现高水平的Covid-19之外,还观察到智利北部的空中交通、采矿生产活动与感染水平之间存在关系。此外,我们发现人口规模与感染-死亡之间存在高度且显著的相关性,显示了通过智利人口分布框架的分层结构的大流行空间扩散过程。虽然这里提出的结果是探索性的,仍有待讨论,但它们有助于展示大流行最初几个月已经表明和经历的进程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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