Failure Prediction in Automatic Reclosers Using Machine Learning Approaches

S. B. Righetto, L. T. Hattori, Guilherme Goncalves Nunes, E. G. Carvalho, M. A. Martins, S. de Francisci
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Abstract

Industry 4.0 opened new frontiers of the Smart Grid (SG) area to understand the behavior of the power grid assets. The asset sensor data stored has been supporting the analysis of the life cycle. Also, it helps to improve predictive maintenance activities. On the other hand, Machine Learning approaches have been achieving the current state-of-the-art in many problems of the SG area. In this context, this paper proposes a preliminary study using ML methods to predict failure in Automatic Reclosers (ARs). In this work, we compare five ML methods: Naive Bayes (NB), Deep Neural Network (DNN), Decision Tree (DT), Gradient Boosted Tree (GBT), and Random Forest (RF). A dataset was generated with temperature information and historical data of the ARs sensors. The failures were labeled using a rule-based approach proposed by the AR specialists. Among the ML methods, RF obtained the best result with 82.47\% F1-Score in the test set, indicating a promising result for the failure prediction area.
基于机器学习方法的自动重合闸故障预测
工业4.0开辟了智能电网(SG)领域的新领域,以了解电网资产的行为。存储的资产传感器数据一直支持着生命周期的分析。此外,它还有助于改进预测性维护活动。另一方面,机器学习方法在SG领域的许多问题上已经达到了目前的最高水平。在此背景下,本文提出了使用机器学习方法预测自动重合闸(ARs)失效的初步研究。在这项工作中,我们比较了五种机器学习方法:朴素贝叶斯(NB)、深度神经网络(DNN)、决策树(DT)、梯度增强树(GBT)和随机森林(RF)。利用温度信息和ar传感器的历史数据生成数据集。使用AR专家提出的基于规则的方法对故障进行标记。在ML方法中,RF获得了最好的结果,在测试集中获得了82.47%的F1-Score,表明在故障预测领域有很好的结果。
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