Traffic Accidents Cause and Effect Analysis: A Case Study in Chattanooga

M. Messiha, Laura-Anne Fox, Serkan Varol, Bandar Aldhuwayhi, E. Kaplanoglu
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Abstract

Motor vehicle crashes are a major cause of fatality in the United States. Chattanooga ranks 4th in the state of Tennessee for traffic accidents which has continued to increase in the past decade. Using a geo-spatial regression model, this project investigated the variables related to weather, property type, collision type, driver characteristics, and spatial factors to see if they play an influencing factor in the number of accidents road occurred during different lighting conditions. The utilized dataset contains police report information on recorded traffic accidents that took place in the city of Chattanooga, TN over a three-year timespan, from January 2018- December 2020. A total of 37,053 records were analyzed and the location analysis identified hotspot locations where motor crashes and fatal accidents have occurred the most. The findings showed that a large majority of fatal accidents happened near a highly industrial area along Amnicola highway. Also, Hamilton place mall area was identified as one of the hotpots where accidents occurred more frequently than other locations. Other findings indicated that the impacts of some driver related variables and collision types on accidents were greater than other factors. The results of this study can be used by local authorities to address the issues at particular hotspot locations and to strategize road safety regulations.
交通事故因果分析:以查塔努加市为例
在美国,车祸是造成死亡的主要原因。查塔努加在田纳西州的交通事故中排名第四,在过去的十年里,交通事故持续增加。使用地理空间回归模型,本项目调查了天气、属性类型、碰撞类型、驾驶员特征和空间因素相关的变量,以了解它们是否在不同照明条件下对道路发生的事故数量起影响作用。所使用的数据集包含田纳西州查塔努加市在2018年1月至2020年12月的三年时间内发生的记录交通事故的警方报告信息。总共分析了37,053条记录,位置分析确定了汽车碰撞和致命事故发生最多的热点地点。调查结果显示,绝大多数致命事故发生在Amnicola高速公路沿线高度工业化的地区附近。此外,汉密尔顿广场购物中心地区被确定为事故频发的热点地区之一。其他研究结果表明,一些与驾驶员相关的变量和碰撞类型对事故的影响大于其他因素。这项研究的结果可以被地方当局用来解决特定热点地区的问题,并制定道路安全法规。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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