Feasibility of Regression Modeling and Biomarker Analysis for Epileptic Seizure Prediction

Dominique L. Tanner, M. Privitera, Marepalli Rao
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Abstract

Epilepsy is a neurological disease that causes recurrent, spontaneous seizures, which can lead people to experience ephemeral neurological and physiological impairments that disrupt day-to-day living. To advance seizure prediction, this study focused on the feasibility of self-prediction by examining patient-specific morning and evening seizure diaries that consisted of possible seizure triggers, measurements of mood, and predictive symptoms. Prediction models were generated by employing logistic regression. Akaike Information Criterion was used to select ideal regression models that evaluated patients' data. Biomarkers that were associated with seizure occurrences calculated and analyzed. Seizure prediction model performance accuracy varied among patients. The correlation between seizure occurrences and how biomarkers oscillated over time was identified. This research expanded efforts to further improve precision medicine and build more steadfast epilepsy-based healthcare treatments.
回归模型和生物标志物分析在癫痫发作预测中的可行性
癫痫是一种神经系统疾病,可引起反复自发发作,可导致患者出现短暂的神经和生理损伤,扰乱日常生活。为了进一步预测癫痫发作,本研究通过检查患者特定的早晨和晚上癫痫发作日记,包括可能的癫痫发作诱因、情绪测量和预测症状,重点关注自我预测的可行性。采用逻辑回归建立预测模型。采用赤池信息准则(Akaike Information Criterion)选择评估患者资料的理想回归模型。计算并分析与癫痫发作相关的生物标志物。癫痫发作预测模型的准确性在不同患者之间存在差异。癫痫发作与生物标志物如何随时间振荡之间的相关性被确定。这项研究扩大了进一步改善精准医学和建立更稳定的癫痫医疗保健治疗的努力。
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