Events classification and operation states considering terrorism in security analysis

A. Torres, C. Tranchita
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Security assessment has been related to contingencies produced by internal causes, such as operating failures or external, such as short-circuit caused by incidental atmospheric conditions in system components. However, terrorism actions could be considered as the largest threat to the power infrastructure in some countries. The robustness and security of a power system has to be related to the ability of the system to support contingencies due to terrorism actions. Therefore, methods and techniques should be developed with the main aim of improving power system security against terrorism. To collaborate to this effort this paper proposes an extension of a well known classification of events and operating states. A classification that includes internal and external natural and unnatural or man caused events is important for proposing new security analysis methods that consider event uncertainties. Natural events are mainly random while unnatural event uncertainty are ambiguous, vague or confuse and some kind of expert elicitation should be applied. In Colombia during year 2002 about 500 towers were destroyed by terrorists. These kinds of events are the main cause of security problems in the power system.
安全分析中考虑恐怖主义的事件分类和操作状态
安全评估与内部原因产生的突发事件有关,例如操作故障或外部原因,例如系统组件中偶然的大气条件引起的短路。然而,恐怖主义行动可以被认为是对一些国家电力基础设施的最大威胁。电力系统的稳健性和安全性必须与系统支持由恐怖主义行动引起的突发事件的能力有关。因此,应以提高电力系统安全防范恐怖主义为主要目标,发展相应的方法和技术。为了配合这项工作,本文提出了一个众所周知的事件和操作状态分类的扩展。将内部和外部的自然和非自然事件或人为事件分类,对于提出考虑事件不确定性的新的安全分析方法非常重要。自然事件的不确定性主要是随机的,而非自然事件的不确定性是模糊的、模糊的或混淆的,需要运用某种专家启发法。2002年,哥伦比亚约有500座塔楼被恐怖分子摧毁。这类事件是造成电力系统安全问题的主要原因。
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