Pengaruh Risiko Kredit, Inflasi Dan Giro Wajib Minimum Terhadap Profitabilitas Bank Umum Di Indonesia

Nadillah Lilhidayah, Widita Kurniasari
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Abstract

This study consists of two analyzes, the first analysis aims to determine and analyze the effects of credit risk, inflation, and reserves requirement on the profitability of conventional commercial banks in Indonesia in the long term and short term. The second analysis aims to determine and analyze the effects of financing risk, inflation, and reserves requirement on the profitability of Islamic commercial banks in Indonesia in the long and short term. The data used is data for the period January 2015 to December 2020. This study used a quantitative approach. The methods used are stationarity test, cointegration test, Error Correction Model (ECM) estimation test, classical assumption test, and statistical test. The results of this study indicated that in the first analysis, in the long term the credit risk variable had a negative significant effect on the profitability of conventional commercial banks. However, in the short-term effect negative insignificant. Inflation variable had a negative significant effect in the long term, as well as positive insignificant in the short term. Meanwhile, the reserve requirement variable had a positive significant effect in the long term also positive insignificant in the short term. And in the second analysis, in the long term and short term the financing risk variable had a negative significant effect on the profitability of Islamic commercial banks. Inflation variable had a negative insignificant effect in the long term and positive significant in the short term. Reserves requirement positive insignificant effect in the long term and negative in the short term.
信贷风险、通货膨胀和活期存款对印尼公共银行盈利能力的最低要求的影响
本研究包括两个分析,第一个分析旨在确定和分析信贷风险、通货膨胀和准备金要求对印度尼西亚传统商业银行长期和短期盈利能力的影响。第二个分析旨在确定和分析融资风险、通货膨胀和准备金要求对印度尼西亚伊斯兰商业银行长期和短期盈利能力的影响。所用数据为2015年1月至2020年12月期间的数据。本研究采用了定量方法。采用的方法有平稳性检验、协整检验、误差修正模型(ECM)估计检验、经典假设检验和统计检验。本研究的结果表明,在第一次分析中,从长期来看,信用风险变量对传统商业银行的盈利能力具有显著的负向影响。但在短期内负面影响不显著。通货膨胀变量长期具有显著的负向影响,短期具有不显著的正向影响。同时,存款准备金率变量在长期具有正显著的影响,在短期具有不显著的正影响。在第二个分析中,融资风险变量在长期和短期内对伊斯兰商业银行的盈利能力都有显著的负向影响。通货膨胀变量在长期具有不显著的负向影响,在短期具有显著的正向影响。存款准备金率的正效应在长期内不显著,在短期内为负。
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