Short-term load forecasting model of GRU based on improved sparrow search algorithm optimization

Sheng Gao, Weili Wu
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Abstract

Accurate prediction of short-term power load can ensure the safety of power system and reduce the cost of power generation. Aiming at the problems of large fluctuation, strong randomness and difficulty in peak value forecasting, a short-term load forecasting method of gated recurrent unit (GRU) based on improved sparrow search algorithm optimization is proposed. Firstly, In the process of load forecasting, the influence of temperature, humidity, electricity price and other factors on load forecasting is considered, and they are taken as input variables of the forecasting model. Secondly, the improved Levy Sparrow Search Algorithm (LSSA) is used to optimize the parameters of GRU network and fully mine the characteristic information of load data, thus improving the forecasting performance of the model. Finally, the load power of a place in Australia is analyzed as an example, and compared with similar forecasting algorithms, the results show that the forecasting effect of this method is better than other methods, and the forecasting accuracy of shortterm load is effectively improved.
基于改进麻雀搜索算法优化的GRU短期负荷预测模型
准确预测电力短期负荷,可以保证电力系统的安全运行,降低发电成本。针对电网峰值预测波动大、随机性强、难以预测的问题,提出了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法优化的门控循环机组(GRU)短期负荷预测方法。首先,在负荷预测过程中,考虑了温度、湿度、电价等因素对负荷预测的影响,并将其作为预测模型的输入变量。其次,采用改进的Levy Sparrow搜索算法(LSSA)对GRU网络参数进行优化,充分挖掘负荷数据的特征信息,提高模型的预测性能;最后,以澳大利亚某地的负荷功率为例进行分析,并与同类预测算法进行对比,结果表明,该方法的预测效果优于其他方法,有效提高了短期负荷的预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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