Probabilistic Planning of Transmission Network Considering Operational Flexibility of Power System

Abstract

The uncertainties about equipment failure will bring great challenges to the operation of transmission network. Therefore, it is important for transmission network to possess sufficient flexibility to accommodate the fluctuation of load and deal with unit failures. This paper proposes a probabilistic planning model of transmission network considering operational flexibility, which makes decision-making optimization for transmission network planning and reduces the influence of uncertainties about equipment failure. Moreover, the proposed model introduces the probability and expectation of up-flexibility-not-supplied (UFNS) and expected-energy-not-supplied (EENS), then uses penalty cost to quantify them, which enhances the reliability and economy of transmission network planning. Furthermore, the absolute value linearization method is used to linearize the expectation of UFNS and EENS, which greatly improves the calculation efficiency. The proposed model is solved using the CPLEX solver in General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS). The practicality of model is verified by the IEEE-RTS system.