Educational bandwidth traffic prediction using non-linear autoregressive neural networks

Abstract

Time series network traffic analysis and forecasting are important for fundamental to many decision-making processes, also to understand network performance, reliability and security, as well as to identify potential problems. This paper provides the latest work at London South Bank University (LSBU) network data traffic analysis by adapting nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model (NARX) based on the Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation algorithm. This technique can analyze and predict data usage in its current and future states, as well as visualise the hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly activities with less computation requirement. Results and analysis proved the accuracy of the prediction techniques.