Systemic Risk and Financial Contagion

Eduard Buzila
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Abstract

It is widely acknowledged now, by many financial and macroeconomists, that in the past, only little attention has been paid to “systemic risk” and “financial contagion”. Rochet and Tirole point out that the ”anxiety about systemic risk is perhaps strongest among bank executives and regulators“. Galati and Moessner state that ”there has been a fundamental lack of understanding of system-wide risk“. Battiston et al. confirm the latter statement by saying that the ”recent financial crisis has shown that systemic risk has been dramatically underestimated“. Fouque and Langsam emphasis this fact when they say that the ”[r]ecent history has shown us not only the enormous cost of a systemic crisis but also how woefully unprepared and ill-equipped governments and private markets have been to prevent systemic crisis or minimize its impact“. According to Geanakoplos et al. Macroeconomists were completely surprised by the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Up until then they had concentrated on macroeconomics with a capital M: global imbalances, interest rates, monetary policy“. Therefore, as Martınez-Jaramillo et al. put it, the ”understanding of systemic risk is of central importance for maintaining financial stability“.
系统性风险和金融传染
许多金融和宏观经济学家现在普遍承认,在过去,人们很少关注“系统性风险”和“金融传染”。罗切特和梯若尔指出,“对系统性风险的焦虑可能在银行高管和监管机构中最为强烈”。加拉蒂和莫斯纳指出,“人们从根本上缺乏对全系统风险的理解”。Battiston等人证实了后一种说法,他们说“最近的金融危机表明,系统性风险被严重低估了”。福克和朗萨姆强调了这一事实,他们说:“最近的历史不仅向我们展示了系统性危机的巨大成本,而且还向我们展示了政府和私人市场在预防系统性危机或将其影响最小化方面是多么的毫无准备和装备不足。”根据Geanakoplos等人的说法。宏观经济学家对2007-2009年的金融危机完全感到意外。在此之前,他们一直专注于以“M”开头的宏观经济学:全球失衡、利率、货币政策。因此,正如Martınez-Jaramillo等人所言,“对系统性风险的理解对于维护金融稳定至关重要”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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