Relationship between transport infrastructure expenditures and costs and transport indicators - an overview of European and Ukrainian situation

L. Savchenko
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Abstract

Quality of transport infrastructure determines the quality of the provision of services for the transportation of goods and passengers. The infrastructure sector is a guarantee of efficiency, mobility and uninterrupted economic activity. However, the high quality of the transport infrastructure implies significant and long-term investments. According to a McKinsey research report, to support sustainable economic growth in the world in line with forecasts for 2030, it is necessary to cover the need for additional investment of $ 3.3 trillion annually, equivalent to 3.8% of world GDP. The purpose of this work is to analyze the existing European approach to assessing transport infrastructure expenditures and costs, their impact on transport performance at the country level, as well as trends in Ukrainian policy regarding the support and development of road infrastructure. Transport infrastructure costs include the investment in new infrastructure, the cost of upgrading the existing infrastructure, the cost of maintaining the infrastructure, and the operating costs to enable the use of the transport infrastructure. Directive 2011/76 / EU prescribes that the weighted average infrastructure charges should be linked to construction costs, as well as the costs of operation, maintenance and development of the corresponding infrastructure network. The official Eurostat data of investment and O&M costs of transport infrastructure based on the citizenship principle was taken for this study, namely: - the number of ton-kilometers traveled per year; - the volume of investments in road infrastructure per year; - the amount of funds for the maintenance of road infrastructure per year. The indicators were taken for countries of the EU for which statistics were available for 2016 and 2019. According to the study, the effect of investments in transport infrastructure is strongly manifested both in the same year and affects subsequent years in terms of the volume of annual transport work. That is, an increase in investment in road infrastructure clearly has a positive effect on the volume of transport work performed. On the other hand, the volume of investments in the EU infrastructure brings a much greater positive effect than funds for road maintenance. Thus, the experience of developed countries shows a positive relationship between investment in the maintenance and construction of transport infrastructure and economic performance of the state. Part of the research was devoted to the study of the impact of investments in road infrastructure of Ukraine on the example of the global Ukrainian infrastructure project "Big Construction". It is projected that in 2024, thanks to road works under the Big Construction, Ukraine's GDP will be 4.4% higher than GDP in 2020. But, as the research shows, good transport infrastructure is a necessary, but not a sufficient condition for growth. "Big Construction" project in Ukraine does not show any positive effect on the volume of performed internal transport work now. The reasons may lie both in more long-term effect from improving the infrastructure, and in the facts of corruption and theft of funds allocated for the project.
运输基础设施支出和成本与运输指标之间的关系-欧洲和乌克兰情况概览
运输基础设施的质量决定了货物和旅客运输服务的质量。基础设施部门是效率、流动性和不间断经济活动的保证。然而,运输基础设施的高质量意味着大量和长期的投资。麦肯锡研究报告指出,要实现2030年全球经济可持续增长,每年需要新增投资3.3万亿美元,相当于全球GDP的3.8%。这项工作的目的是分析欧洲评估运输基础设施支出和费用的现有方法,它们对国家一级运输绩效的影响,以及乌克兰在支持和发展道路基础设施方面的政策趋势。运输基建成本包括投资兴建新基建、改善现有基建的成本、维修基础设施的成本,以及使用运输基建的营运成本。2011/76 / EU指令规定,加权平均基础设施收费应与建设成本以及相应基础设施网络的运营、维护和开发成本挂钩。本研究采用欧盟统计局基于公民身份原则的交通基础设施投资和运营维护成本的官方数据,即:-每年行驶的吨公里数;-每年道路基础设施的投资额;-每年用于维修道路基础设施的款额。这些指标是针对2016年和2019年有统计数据的欧盟国家的。根据这项研究,运输基础设施投资的效果在同一年明显表现出来,并影响到随后几年的年度运输工作量。也就是说,增加对道路基础设施的投资显然会对运输工作量产生积极影响。另一方面,欧盟基础设施的投资额比道路养护资金带来的积极影响要大得多。因此,发达国家的经验表明,在交通基础设施的维护和建设方面的投资与国家的经济绩效之间存在正相关关系。研究的一部分专门用于研究乌克兰道路基础设施投资对乌克兰全球基础设施项目“大建设”的影响。预计到2024年,由于大建设下的道路工程,乌克兰的GDP将比2020年的GDP高出4.4%。但是,正如研究表明的那样,良好的交通基础设施是增长的必要条件,但不是充分条件。乌克兰的“大建设”项目目前对国内运输工程量没有任何积极影响。原因可能在于改善基础设施带来的更长远的影响,也可能在于腐败和挪用项目资金的事实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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