Comparison of modified Glasgow-Imrie, Ranson, and Apache II scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis.

Abstract

<b>Aim:</b> The course of acute pancreatitis is variable with patients at risk of poor outcomes. The purpose of this study was to compare Modified Glasgow-Imrie, Ranson, and APACHE II scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. </br></br> <b> Material and Methods: </b> After a brief history, clinical examination and qualifying inclusion criteria, 70 patients (41 women, 29 men) diagnosed with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. The three scores were calculated for each patient and evaluated for their role in the assessment of specific outcomes. </br></br> <b>Results:</b> 34.3% patients were diagnosed with severe acute pancreatitis, while 65.7% patients had mild acute pancreatitis. A strong positive correlation was found between all the prognostic scores and the severity of disease. In the prediction of the severity of disease according to AUC, it was found that Glasgow-Imrie score had an AUC of 0.864 (0.7560.973), followed very closely by APACHE II score with an AUC of 0.863 (0.7580.968). APACHE II had the highest sensitivity (79.17%) in predicting severity while Glasgow-Imrie score was the most specific (97.83%) of all the scores. Patients with a Glasgow-Imrie score above the cut-off value of 3 had more complications and a longer hospital stay. </br></br> <b>Conclusion:</b> The Glasgow-Imrie score was comparable to APACHE II score and better than Ranson score statistically in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. Its administration in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis is recommended.