Multimorbidity prevalence and patterns at the baseline of the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil).

Larissa Pruner Marques, Odaleia Barbosa de Aguiar, Daniela Polessa Paula, Fernanda Esthefane Garrides Oliveira, Dóra Chor, Isabela Benseñor, Antonio Luiz Ribeiro, Andre R Brunoni, Luciana A C Machado, Maria de Jesus Mendes da Fonseca, Rosane Härter Griep
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Abstract

Background: To identify multimorbidity patterns, by sex, according to sociodemographic and lifestyle in ELSA-Brasil.

Methods: Cross-sectional study with 14,516 participants from ELSA-Brasil (2008-2010). Fuzzy c-means was used to identify multimorbidity patterns of 2+ chronic morbidities, where the consequent morbidity had to occur in at least 5% of all cases. Association rule (O/E≥1.5) was used to identify co-occurrence of morbidities, in each cluster, by sociodemographic and lifestyle factors.

Results: The prevalence of multimorbidity was higher in women (73.7%) compared to men (65.3%). Among women, cluster 1 was characterized by hypertension/diabetes (13.2%); cluster 2 had no overrepresented morbidity; and cluster 3 all participants had kidney disease. Among men, cluster 1 was characterized by cirrhosis/hepatitis/obesity; cluster 2, most combinations included kidney disease/migraine (6.6%); cluster 3, no pattern reached association ratio; cluster 4 predominated co-occurrence of hypertension/rheumatic fever, and hypertension/dyslipidemia; cluster 5 predominated diabetes and obesity, and combinations with hypertension (8.8%); and cluster 6 presented combinations of diabetes/hypertension/heart attack/angina/heart failure. Clusters were characterized by higher prevalence of adults, married and participants with university degrees.

Conclusion: Hypertension/diabetes/obesity were highly co-occurred, in both sexes. Yet, for men, morbidities like cirrhosis/hepatitis were commonly clustered with obesity and diabetes; and kidney disease was commonly clustered with migraine and common mental disorders. The study advances in understanding multimorbidity patterns, benefiting simultaneously or gradually prevention of diseases and multidisciplinary care responses.

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巴西成人健康纵向研究(ELSA-Brasil)基线的多病患病率和模式
背景:根据elsa -巴西的社会人口统计学和生活方式,按性别确定多发病模式。方法:来自ELSA-Brasil的14516名参与者(2008-2010)的横断面研究。模糊c均值用于识别2+慢性疾病的多发病模式,其中随后的发病必须至少在所有病例中占5%。采用关联规则(O/E≥1.5),通过社会人口统计学和生活方式因素确定每组中发病率的共现性。结果:女性多病患病率(73.7%)高于男性(65.3%)。在女性中,第1组以高血压/糖尿病为特征(13.2%);聚类2没有过度代表的发病率;第三组所有的参与者都有肾脏疾病。在男性中,第1组以肝硬化/肝炎/肥胖为特征;第2组,大多数合并包括肾病/偏头痛(6.6%);聚类3,没有模式达到关联比;第4组以高血压/风湿热和高血压/血脂异常共存为主;第5类以糖尿病和肥胖为主,并合并高血压(8.8%);第6组合并糖尿病/高血压/心脏病/心绞痛/心力衰竭。群集的特点是成年人、已婚和具有大学学位的参与者的患病率较高。结论:高血压/糖尿病/肥胖在两性中高度共发。然而,对于男性来说,肝硬化/肝炎等疾病通常与肥胖和糖尿病聚集在一起;肾脏疾病通常与偏头痛和常见精神障碍聚集在一起。该研究在了解多发病模式,同时或逐渐受益于疾病预防和多学科护理反应方面取得了进展。
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