衡量保释决定中的种族歧视。

IF 10.5 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

American Economic Review Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.1257/aer.20201653

David Arnold, Will Dobbie, Peter Hull

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们开发了新的准实验工具来衡量保释决定背景下的不同影响，无论其来源如何。我们表明，在审前释放率比较中遗漏的变量偏差可以通过使用法官的准随机分配来估计按种族划分的审前不当行为的平均风险来消除。我们发现，纽约市白人和黑人被告释放率差异的三分之二是由于释放决定的不同影响。然后，我们开发了一个分层边际处理效应模型来研究差别化影响的驱动因素，找到种族偏见和统计歧视的证据。

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Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions.

We develop new quasi-experimental tools to measure disparate impact, regardless of its source, in the context of bail decisions. We show that omitted variables bias in pretrial release rate comparisons can be purged by using the quasi-random assignment of judges to estimate average pretrial misconduct risk by race. We find that two-thirds of the release rate disparity between white and Black defendants in New York City is due to the disparate impact of release decisions. We then develop a hierarchical marginal treatment effect model to study the drivers of disparate impact, finding evidence of both racial bias and statistical discrimination.

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来源期刊

American Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

18.60

自引率

2.80%

发文量

122

期刊介绍： The American Economic Review (AER) stands as a prestigious general-interest economics journal. Founded in 1911, it holds the distinction of being one of the nation's oldest and most esteemed scholarly journals in economics. With a commitment to academic excellence, the AER releases 12 issues annually, featuring articles that span a wide spectrum of economic topics.