Trends in oral anticoagulant prescription in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in Flanders and the impact of switching patients from vitamin K antagonists to DOACS in terms of the burden caused by complications of the disease: a registry-based study.

Context: Since the introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for the treatment of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (Afib), oral anticoagulants (OACs) prescription has evolved.

Aim: We aim first to explore the OACs prescription behaviour in Flanders from 2002 to 2019 before exploring the impact of switching patients from vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) to DOACs in terms of the burden caused by stroke as a complication of non-valvular Afib.

Methods: Data were obtained from INTEGO, a Flemish, general practice-based morbidity registration network. Comprised patients had at least one visit to their GP per year between 2002 and 2019 and a follow-up of at least 1 year after the diagnosis of Afib. Public prices were retrieved from the Belgian Centre for Pharmacotherapeutic Information (BCFI) and the National Institute for Health and Disability Insurance (RIZIV/ INAMI) sites. The number of Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) was based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) literature. The calculation of the Number Needed to Switch (NNSw) was the basis for conducting cost-utility analyses accounting for the global benefit in terms of the cost of prevented stroke/DALY and the cost of switching Flemish ≥ 65 years patients from VKAs to DOACs in two scenarios.

Results: Increased DOAC use has been observed since 2012. The incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs) yielded 553 to 824 €/DALY of prevented stroke.

Conclusion: In this registry-based study, we found a significant positive trend in OAC use in Flanders between 2002 and 2019. Switching to DOACs seems cost-effective compared to a threshold of 20000€/DALY.