Impact of preoperative ultrasonography for predicting the prognosis of deceased donor kidney transplantation.

Purpose: This study evaluated the role of donor kidney ultrasonography (US) for predicting functional kidney volume and identifying ideal kidney grafts in deceased donor kidney transplantation.

Methods: In total, 272 patients who underwent deceased donor kidney transplantation from 2000 to 2020 at Samsung Medical Center were enrolled. Donor kidney information (i.e., right or left) was provided to the radiologist who performed US image re-analysis. To binarize each kidney's ultrasound parameters, an optimal cutoff value for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 within 1 year after kidney transplantation was selected using the receiver operating characteristic curve with a specificity >60%. Cox regression analysis was performed for an eGFR less than 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 within 1 year after kidney transplantation and graft failure within 2 years after kidney transplantation.

Results: The product of renal length and cortical thickness was a statistically significant predictor of graft function. The odds ratios of an eGFR less than 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 within a year after kidney transplantation and the hazard ratio of graft failure within 2 years after kidney transplantation were 5.91 (P=0.003) and 5.76 (P=0.022), respectively.

Conclusion: Preoperative US of the donor kidney can be used to evaluate donor kidney function and can predict short-term graft survival. An imaging modality such as US should be included in the donor selection criteria as an additional recommendation. However, the purpose of this study was not to narrow the expanded criteria but to avoid catastrophic consequences by identifying ideal donor kidneys using preoperative US.