Higher estimated plasma volume status is associated with increased thrombotic risk and impaired survival in patients with primary myelofibrosis.

Introduction: Blood plasma represents a large reservoir of cytokines and other mediators of inflammation. Higher estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has been shown to correlate with increased thrombotic risk in polycythemia vera patients, but its clinical and prognostic associations in patients with myelofibrosis are unknown which we aim to evaluate in this study.

Materials and methods: We retrospectively analysed a multicentric cohort of 238 patients with primary (PMF) and secondary myelofibrosis (SMF). Estimated plasma volume status was calculated using the Strauss-derived Duarte formula. Overall survival (OS) and time to thrombosis (TTT) considering both arterial and venous thromboses were primary endpoints of interest.

Results: Median ePVS was 5.8 dL/g and it did not significantly differ between PMF and SMF patients. Patients with more advanced disease features, more pronounced inflammation and higher comorbidity burden had higher ePVS. Higher ePVS (> 5.6 dL/g) was associated with shorter OS in PMF (unadjusted hazard ratio, HR = 2.8, 95% confidence interval, CI (1.79-4.41), P < 0.001) and SMF (unadjusted HR = 2.55, 95% CI (1.1-5.71), P =0.025) and with shorter TTT in PMF (> 7 dL/g, unadjusted HR = 4.1, 95% CI (1.44-11.59), P = 0.009) patients. Associations with OS diminished in multivariate analyses after adjustments for the dynamic-international-prognostic-scoring-system (DIPSS) and myelofibrosis-secondary-to-PV-and ET-prognostic-model (MYSEC-PM), respectively. Association with TTT remained significant independently of JAK2 mutation, white blood cell count and chronic kidney disease.

Conclusions: Myelofibrosis patients with more advanced disease features and more pronounced inflammation have higher ePVS, indicative of expanded plasma volume. Higher ePVS is associated with impaired survival in PMF and SMF and higher thrombotic risk in PMF patients.