放慢速度还是恢复正常?与COVID-19大流行前的五个欧洲大国相比,英国的预期寿命有所改善。

IF 6.7 2区 医学 Q1 Medicine
Jon Minton, Lucinda Hiam, Martin McKee, Danny Dorling
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引用次数: 1

摘要

简介或背景:预期寿命是衡量人口健康状况的重要指标。在没有战争或疾病爆发等重大事件的情况下,尽管有一些波动,但趋势应该随着时间的推移而增加,而且从历史上看也是如此。数据来源:数据摘自1980年至最近可查年份的英格兰和威尔士、苏格兰(大不列颠)、法国、西班牙、意大利、荷兰和德国的出生时和65岁时预期寿命的人类死亡率数据库。共识领域:众所周知,近年来英国的预期寿命改善停滞不前,其他高收入国家在2010年代中期也出现了类似的停滞。争议领域:英国人预期寿命增长放缓的意义和原因存在争议。首先,英国在2010年代预期寿命进展的放缓是偏离了早期的持续改善,还是仅仅是在21世纪初更快的增长之后回归到正常(更慢)的改善速度?第二,其他欧洲国家的经济放缓是否与英国类似?增长点:作为一个总结性的衡量标准,预期寿命掩盖了不平等。其他指标,如寿命差距,在理解变化趋势方面起到了补充作用。虽然预期寿命每年都会出现波动,但持续停滞应该引起关注。在这些欧洲国家中,只有这三个英国国家的男女预期寿命增长都出现了停滞。及时开展研究的领域:虽然很明显,英国在健康方面的进步比类似的国家要少,但需要更多的研究来解释原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Slowing down or returning to normal? Life expectancy improvements in Britain compared to five large European countries before the COVID-19 pandemic.

Introduction or background: Life expectancy is an important summary measure of population health. In the absence of a significant event like war or disease outbreak, trends should, and historically have, increase over time, albeit with some fluctuations.

Sources of data: Data were extracted from the human mortality database for life expectancy at birth and age 65 years from 1980 to the latest available year for England & Wales, Scotland (Great Britain), France, Spain, Italy, the Netherlands and Germany.

Areas of agreement: It is well established that life expectancy improvements in Great Britain have stalled in recent years, and that a similar stalling was seen in other high-income countries during the mid-2010s.

Areas of controversy: The significance and causes of the slowdown in improvement in life expectancy in Britain are disputed. First, was Britain's slowdown in progress in life expectancy in the 2010s a deviation 'from' earlier sustained improvements or simply returning to normal (slower) improvement rates following faster gains in the 2000s? Second, did other European countries have slowdowns comparable to that in Britain?

Growing points: Life expectancy, as a summary measure, conceals inequalities. Other measures, such as lifespan disparity, complement it in understanding changing trends. While annual fluctuations in life expectancy are expected, continued stalls should raise concern. The three British nations examined were the only ones among these European countries to experience stalling of life expectancy gains in both sexes.

Areas timely for developing research: While it is clear that Britain is making less progress in health than similar countries, more research is needed to explain why.

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来源期刊
British medical bulletin
British medical bulletin 医学-医学:内科
CiteScore
13.10
自引率
1.50%
发文量
24
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: British Medical Bulletin is a multidisciplinary publication, which comprises high quality reviews aimed at generalist physicians, junior doctors, and medical students in both developed and developing countries. Its key aims are to provide interpretations of growing points in medicine by trusted experts in the field, and to assist practitioners in incorporating not just evidence but new conceptual ways of thinking into their practice.
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