黄河流域水-能-粮系统耦合协调性综合评价框架

IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Dengyu Yin, Haochen Yu, Yanqi Lu, Jian Zhang, Gensheng Li, Xiaoshun Li
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引用次数: 2

摘要

水、能源、粮食是人类生存和发展必不可少的物质保障。然而,在中国,世界经济论坛的空间分布严重不平衡和不匹配。在此,迫切需要建立一种以网络安全为目标的协同治理机制。本文选取中国黄河流域具有代表性的WEF系统作为案例。首先,构建了世界经济论坛耦合协调的综合框架,并从理论上分析了它们之间的关系和机制。在此基础上,采用复合评价方法、耦合协调度模型、空间统计分析和多尺度地理加权回归等方法研究了耦合协调度的时空特征及其驱动机制。最后,探讨了促进世界经济论坛体系协调发展的政策意义。结果表明:1)世界经济论坛各子系统在时间变化上呈现出明显的空间格局和多样性不平衡;2) WEF系统的CCD变化不大,处于中等协调状态。协调性中等的地区增加了,协调性较好的地区和轻度紊乱的地区减少了。此外,CCD的空间聚类现象显著,呈现出明显的偏振特征;3)各因子的作用具有自分化性和地域性。在不同的因素中,人均GDP尤为重要,对区域发展的耦合协调贡献最大。不同区域的人均GDP、年平均降水量、人口密度和城镇化率呈现东西方向的地理梯度差异。研究结论可为提高世界经济论坛系统的利用效率,实现区域资源配置和可持续发展提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Comprehensive Evaluation Framework of Water-Energy-Food System Coupling Coordination in the Yellow River Basin, China.

For mankind's survival and development, water, energy, and food (WEF) are essential material guarantees. In China, however, the spatial distribution of WEF is seriously unbalanced and mismatched. Here, a collaborative governance mechanism that aims at nexus security needs to be urgently established. In this paper, the Yellow River Basin in China with a representative WEF system, was selected as a case. Firstly, a comprehensive framework for WEF coupling coordination was constructed, and the relationship and mechanism between them were analyzed theoretically. Then, we investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of the coupling coordination degree (CCD) with a composite evaluation method, coupling coordination degree model, spatial statistical analysis, and multiscale geographic weighted regression. Finally, policy implications were discussed to promote the coordinated development of the WEF system. The results showed that: 1) WEF subsystems showed a significant imbalance of spatial pattern and diversity in temporal changes; 2) the CCD for the WEF system varied little and remained at moderate coordination. Areas with moderate coordination have increased, while areas with superior coordination and mild disorder have decreased. In addition, the spatial clustering phenomenon of the CCD was significant and showed obvious characteristics of polarization; and 3) the action of each factor is self-differentiated and regionally variable. For different factors, GDP per capita was of particular importance, which contributed most to the regional development's coupling coordination. For different regions, GDP per capita, average yearly precipitation, population density, and urbanization rate exhibited differences in geographical gradients in an east-west direction. The conclusion can provide references for regional resource allocation and sustainable development by enhancing WEF system utilization efficiency.

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来源期刊
Chinese Geographical Science
Chinese Geographical Science 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
5.90%
发文量
63
审稿时长
3.0 months
期刊介绍: Chinese Geographical Science is an international journal, sponsored by Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and published by Science Press, Beijing, China. Chinese Geographical Science is devoted to leading scientific and technological innovation in geography, serving development in China, and promoting international scientific exchange. The journal mainly covers physical geography and its sub-disciplines, human geography and its sub-disciplines, cartography, remote sensing, and geographic information systems. It pays close attention to the major issues the world is concerned with, such as the man-land relationship, population, resources, environment, globalization and regional development.
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