外援对阿富汗人的发展的有效性研究

Mr. Qiamuddin Andaish , Mr. Sakhibaksh Assadi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

阿富汗受到几十年冲突的困扰,但过去二十年走向和平的运动为人类发展的新时代提供了机会。政府致力于实现《2030年议程》和可持续发展目标。由于反复的战争和冲突,该国严重依赖外国援助来支持其发展目标和填补预算缺口。人类发展指数(HDI)是一个被广泛使用的衡量个人福祉的指标,对外援助是贫困国家发展的最有效工具之一。在本研究中,我们分析了1990 - 2019年外援对阿富汗人类发展指数及其三个核心组成部分的影响。我们通过矢量误差校正模型(VECM)的实现实现了我们的目标。我们的研究揭示了官方发展援助与人类发展指数之间的相互关联,包括其三个方面。通过我们的观察,我们发现,从长远来看,外援在促进人类发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用。具体来说,官方发展援助每增加1%,人类发展指数就会提高0.0007%。此外,我们的研究结果还表明,人类发展是吸引外国援助的推动力。我们把阿富汗作为一个个案研究,观察到人类整体发展有了显著改善,我们将其归因于在我们研究期间外国援助的流入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A study on the effectiveness of foreign aid on human development of Afghanistan

Afghanistan has been plagued by decades of conflict, but the last two decades' movements toward peace offer the opportunity for a new era of human development. The government was committed to achieving the 2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals. Due to repeated wars and conflicts, the country relies heavily on foreign aid to support its development goals and fill budget gaps. The Human Development Index (HDI) serves as a widely utilized measure of individual well-being, and foreign aid is one of the most effective tools for the development of impoverished nations. In this study, we analyzed the impact of foreign aid on Afghanistan's Human Development Index and its three core components from 1990 to 2019.

We achieved our objective through the implementation of the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Our study uncovered a reciprocal association between ODA and HDI, including its three aspects. Through our observations, we have discovered that foreign aid plays a crucial role in enhancing human development in the long term. Specifically, for every one percent increase in ODA, we have observed a 0.0007 percent improvement in HDI. In addition, our findings have revealed that human development serves as a driving force in attracting foreign aid. Looking at Afghanistan as a case study, we have observed a significant improvement in overall human development, which we attribute to the influx of foreign aid during our study period.

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