东欧政党制度和投票行为的“正常化”

IF 0.1 4区 社会学 Q4 POLITICAL SCIENCE
D. Bochsler
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在国际研究中,东欧的选举被认为是孤立的案例。学者们认为,其原因在于政党的制度化程度较低。在这篇文章中,我将重点关注在第一次多党选举过程中政党制度制度化的发展。政党制度形成理论和策略性选民行为理论表明,政党制度在几次选举后趋于稳定和国有化。只有有了足够的经验,政党和选民才有足够的信息采取战略行动,并根据新的选举制度调整自己的行为。我构建了一个关于地区选举结果的新数据库,使我能够首次在东欧通过测量“政党国有化”和“浪费选票”来检验这些假设。这两项指标都是根据俄罗斯、爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、摩尔多瓦和罗马尼亚的创新指标计算出来的。即使这些国家(例如与中欧形成对比)没有多少民主经验,其中四个政党制度在15年后几乎达到了“正常”的价值。但俄罗斯仍然缺乏一个制度化的政党体系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The 'normalisation' of party systems and voting behaviour in Eastern Europe
Eastern European elections are regarded as outlying cases in international research. According to scholars, the reason for it lies in a low institutionalisation of political parties. In this article, I focus on the developments which occur in the institutionalisation of party systems in the course of the first multiparty elections. Theories about party system formation and strategic voter behaviour let suggest that the party system stabilises and nationalises after several elections. It is only with sufficient experience that political parties and voters have enough information to act strategically and to adjust their behaviour to the new electoral systems. A novel database on electoral results on the district level that I constructed allows me to test those hypotheses by measuring “party nationalisation” and “wasted votes” for the first time for Eastern Europe. Both indicators are calculated with innovating measures for Russia, Estonia, Latvia, Moldova and Romania. Even if the countries (in contrast for instance to Central Europe) have few democratic experience, four of those party systems after one and a half decades reached almost “normal” values. But Russia still lacks a well institutionalised party system.
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