新加坡出租车事故的实证研究

Liujiang Kang , Yue Zhao , Qiang Meng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

36个月的出租车事故数据包括分布在新加坡29个区(包括樟宜机场)的41,538起出租车事故记录,涉及16,933辆出租车和16,705名出租车司机。我们有意利用这些数据分析了9个影响因素对出租车事故的影响,并给出了量化和实用的出租车驾驶安全建议。我们的可靠分析表明,出于安全考虑,建议出租车司机的最大每日工作时间不超过10小时,因为这可以减少可能发生的出租车撞车事故。此外,与有路灯或没有路灯的道路状况相比,在白天发生出租车撞车事故的可能性最高。我们进一步使用随机森林方法找出蓝黄出租车事故的关键影响因素。出租车事故不同于私家车事故的两个独特因素是救援和切换方式。本文的研究结果对出租车经营者和政策制定者具有重要的参考价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An empirical study of taxi crashes in Singapore

The 36-month taxi crash data include 41,538 taxi crash records distributed throughout 29 districts of Singapore (including Changi Airport), involving 16,933 taxis and 16,705 taxi drivers. We purposely use these data to analyze the impacts of nine influential factors on taxi crashes and give quantitative and practical suggestions on taxi driving safety. Our solid analysis shows that the maximum daily working time for a taxi driver is suggested to be less than 10 h for safety concerns because it could reduce the possible taxi crashes. In addition, the likelihood of taxi crashes in the daylight is the highest when compared to road conditions with streetlights or one without streetlights at all. We further use the random forest method to find the critical influential factors in blue and yellow taxi crashes. The relief and switcher modes are the two unique factors contributing to taxi crashes that are different from private car crashes. The findings of this study are of significant value for taxi operators and policymakers.

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