钻石公主游轮:一个意外的COVID-19实验模型

L. Liu 刘
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020年2月,从日本出发的“钻石公主”号邮轮,在发现一名香港乘客下船后被诊断出患有SARS-COV2肺炎后,被迫在海上隔离14天。结果震惊世界,船上发生了传染病的爆发;受感染人数迅速增加;大约20%的人口被感染。最后,隔离完全失败,必须正式结束。人群被疏散回自己的国家。该事件可以看作是在独立封闭的建筑物中进行病毒感染的实验模型,展示了病毒通过公共通风管道和门窗缝隙进行强大的空气传播。有一种趋势是,没有人是免疫的;没有种族差异,世界上所有的人都容易受到影响。无症状隐性感染人群众多,是危险的传染源。封闭隔离的失败说明疏散是最好的隔离和防护。综上所述,误隔离=强迫感染;无效隔离=纵容传播;过度隔离=浪费资源。唯一正确的方法是立即疏散感染者,迅速驱散未感染者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Diamond Princess Cruise: An Accidentally Experimental Model of COVID-19
On February 2020, the Diamond Princess Cruise, which left Japan, was obliged to stay at sea for 14 days-quarantine after it was found that a Hong Kong passenger had been diagnosed SARS-COV2 pneumonia after disembarking. As a result shocked the world, an outbreak of infection occurred on board; the number of infected people increased rapidly; and about 20% of the population infected. Finally, the quarantine is completely failed and has to be ended officially. The crowd was evacuated back to their own country. The incident can be seen as an experimental model of virus infection in an independently enclosed building, showing powerful air-borne transmission of the virus to pass through public ventilation ducts and crevices in doors and windows. There have trend that no is immune; there have no racial differences and all world people are generally susceptible. The populations of asymptomatic recessive infection are large and are a dangerous infection source. The failure of closed quarantine indicates that evacuation is the best quarantine and protection. To sum up, mistake quarantine = forced infection; ineffective quarantine = condoning spreading; excessive quarantine = wasting resources. The only right way is to evacuate the infected immediately and disperse the uninfected quickly.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
12 weeks
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