实际有效汇率对巴基斯坦显性比较优势和贸易平衡的影响

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Muhammad Siddique, Ahsan Anwar, M. A. Quddus
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究估计了实际有效汇率(REER)的贬值和升值对协调制度下巴基斯坦2位数出口的显示比较优势(RCA)的影响。采用非线性自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术对非对称证据进行检验。本研究采用两个模型来探讨出口绩效。研究结果/原创性:模型1的估计结果证实了ARDL不对称的证明,并得出贬值对所选RCA的指数值有正向影响,有助于提高巴基斯坦的出口。同时,REER的升值也产生了不利影响。模型2估计了这些选定的RCA、REER和世界总收入(Yw)对巴基斯坦贸易平衡(TB)的影响。结果估计,增加选定的RCA指数值、世界总收入和REER折旧有助于减少巴基斯坦的赤字结核病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of real effective exchange rate on revealed comparative advantage and trade balance of Pakistan
This study estimates the effects of devaluation and appreciation of real effective exchange rate ( REER ) on revealed comparative advantage ( RCA ) at Harmonized System 2-digit level of exports in Pakistan. A non-linear Autoregressive Distribute Lag ( ARDL ) technique is applied to test the asymmetric evidence. This study employs two models to explore the export performance. Findings/Originality: The results of model 1 estimation confirm the proof of asymmetric ARDL and concludes that devaluation has a positive effect on selected RCA ’s index value and helps enhance exports of Pakistan. Meanwhile, the appreciation of REER is having an adverse impact. Model-2 estimates the effect of these selected RCA’s , REER , and world aggregated income ( Yw ) on the trade balance ( TB ) of Pakistan. The results estimate that an increase in selected RCA’s index values, world aggregated income, and REER depreciation is useful to decrease in deficit TB of Pakistan.
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来源期刊
自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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