1959-2014年内蒙古高原极端温度对可持续发展的影响

IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY
Erde Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI:10.12854/ERDE-2020-508
Chunlan Li, Debin Du, W. Filho, Jun Wang, G. Bao, Ming-wu Ye, D. Ayal, Yin Shan, Y. Bao, Richa Hu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

该研究基于内蒙古高原43个气象站的16个极端温度指数,旨在更好地了解极端温度事件和变化的性质及其对可持续发展的影响。利用线性趋势检验和Mann-Kendall突变检验分析极端温度事件的时间变化趋势,结合极端温度事件的空间分布格局和突变特征,研究发现1959—2014年IMP地区经历了极端变暖,暖极端事件显著增加(p < 0.01),冷极端事件明显减少(p < 0.01)。暖极端指数的增加趋势在荒漠草原区(DSA)和沙漠荒漠区(SDA)最为显著,说明夜间指数的增温趋势大于白天指数,而冷极端指数的减少趋势在森林草原区(FA)和森林草原区(FSA)最为显著。在整个研究区,显著冷日和显著冷夜指数呈下降趋势,显著暖日和显著暖夜指数呈上升趋势。此外,研究还发现地形对极端温度指数的空间分布有很大影响,草地类型和热岛效应在城市建设区域的普遍存在。最后,该研究认为,为了减轻极端温度的影响,必须在可持续发展原则的基础上促进适应性行动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the implications of temperature extremes during the period 1959-2014 on the Inner Mongolia Plateau to sustainable development
The study sought to foster a better understanding of the nature of extreme temperature events and variations, and their implications to sustainable development, based on 16 indices of extreme temperature obtained from 43 meteorological stations on the Inner Mongolia Plateau (IMP). By using linear trend and Mann-Kendall abrupt change tests to investigate temporal variation trends, coupled with spatial distribution patterns and abrupt changes of extreme temperature events, the study revealed that the IMP has experienced extreme warming during 1959–2014 with warm extremes increasing significantly (p < 0.01) and cold extremes apparently decreasing (p < 0.01). The most significant increasing trends of warm extreme indices occurred in the desert steppe area (DSA) and sand desert area (SDA), suggesting that warming trends for night-time indices were larger than for daytime indices, while the most significant decreases in cold extreme indices were detected in forest area (FA) and forest steppe area (FSA). In addition, the significant cold day and cold night indices showed a decreasing trend, while warm day and warm night indices showed an increasing trend across the entire study area. Moreover, the study identified that topography has a large impact on the spatial distribution of extreme temperature indices, as does the type of grassland, and the ubiquity of the heat island effect in constructed urban regions. Finally, the study posits that to mitigate the effects of extreme temperatures, it is imperative to foster adaptive actions based on the principles of sustainable development.
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来源期刊
Erde
Erde GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL-GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.20%
发文量
0
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: DIE ERDE is a publication of the Geographical Society of Berlin DIE ERDE is a scientific journal in Geography, with four issues per year with about 100 pages each. It covers all aspects of geographical research, focusing on both earth system studies and regional contributions. DIE ERDE invites contributions from any subfield of both Physical and Human Geography as well as from neighbouring disciplines.
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