阿尔及利亚1962 - 2018年预期寿命演变趋势分析:S-logistic跃变分割

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY

Population Review Pub Date : 2020-04-21 DOI:10.1353/prv.2020.0002

Farid Flici

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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要:本文利用流行病学过渡框架分析了阿尔及利亚自1962年独立以来预期寿命的演变。总体过渡趋势用S-logistic函数拟合，同时进行断点分析(包括跳跃)以检测方法学变化和极端事件效应。结果显示阿尔及利亚人口的流行病学转变的证据。预期寿命演变时间序列的明显跳跃似乎是由于更新了登记死亡的校正因子、两次人口普查期间对人口结构的错误估计以及1990年代内战的影响。

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Analyzing the Trend of Life Expectancy Evolution in Algeria from 1962 to 2018: The S-logistic Segmentation with Jumps

Abstract:This paper analyzes the evolution of life expectancy in Algeria since Independence in 1962, using an epidemiological transition framework. The general transition trend was fitted with an S-logistic function, while a break-point analysis – including jumps – was performed to detect methodological changes and extreme event effects. Results show evidence of the epidemiological transition of the Algerian population. Apparent jumps in the time series of life expectancy evolution appear to be due to updates of the correction factors for death under registration, misestimation of the population structure during the intercensal periods, and impacts of the civil war during the 1990s.

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来源期刊

Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

1.30

自引率

14.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.