阿以安全困境与和平进程

IF 1.6 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
G. Steinberg
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在过去五十年中,位于中东的南地中海和东地中海区域的特点是高度冲突。除了阿以地区的冲突外,该地区还包括波斯湾、黎巴嫩、土耳其和叙利亚、埃及和利比亚之间的对抗,以及许多内部争端。这些冲突地区不是独立的,而是重叠的,扩大了暴力和战争威胁的程度和范围。许多因素导致和促成了这些冲突,包括古老的民族-民族-宗教冲突、西方殖民主义的残余和国家建设问题、冷战的影响、内部权力斗争和经济利益冲突。这些因素的相对作用随着时间的推移而变化,有些变得不那么突出,而另一些则变得越来越重要。在过去二十年中,该地区和冲突的性质发生了重大变化。阿以关系可能正在演变成一场混合和博弈,主要参与国逐渐寻求共同利益,特别是在防止战争和恐怖主义方面,并在经济努力、水资源开发和环境问题上进行合作。相比之下,伊朗的原教旨主义伊斯兰政权及其激进意识形态的输出助长了国内冲突的加剧,并扩大了恐怖主义的范围。国内政治、社会和经济的不稳定促成了这一进程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Arab‐Israeli security dilemma and the peace process
For the past five decades, the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean region, which is embedded in the Middle East, has been characterized by a high level of conflict. In addition to the conflict in the Arab-Israeli zone, this region also includes those in the Persian Gulf, Lebanon, confrontations between Turkey and Syria, and Egypt and Libya, as well as numerous internal disputes. These areas of conflict are not independent, but overlap, extending the level arid radius of violence and threat of war. Many factors have caused and contributed to these conflicts, including ancient ethno-national-religious conflicts, the remnants of Western colonialism and the problems of state-building, the impact of the Cold War, internal power struggles, and conflicting economic interests. The relative role of these factors has varied over time, with some becoming less salient while others have grown in importance. In the past two decades, the nature of the region and the conflicts have changed significantly. The Arab-Israeli relationship may be evolving into a mixed-sum game, in which the major states involved gradually seek to pursue common interests, particularly with respect to the prevention of war and terrorism, and cooperate in economic endeavors, water resource development, and environmental issues. In contrast, the fundamentalist Islamic regime in Iran and the effort to export its radical ideology have contributed to increased internal conflict and extended the range of terrorism. Domestic political, social, and economic instabilities have contributed to this process.
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来源期刊
International Spectator
International Spectator INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
5.90%
发文量
41
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